Football · Hungary NB III · 18/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Dabas vs BKV Elore SC

Team pages: FC Dabas · BKV Elore SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

FC Dabas2.28

BKV Elore SC1.35

1X2

57% 22% 21%

FC Dabas Draw BKV Elore SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dabas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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BKV Elore SC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Dabas 1–2–3 BKV Elore SC (6 last)

BKV Elore SC4-1FC Dabas
FC Dabas1-2BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC1-1FC Dabas
FC Dabas1-2BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC1-1FC Dabas
FC Dabas1-0BKV Elore SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dabas 1476 · BKV Elore SC 1418

	FC Dabas	Draw	BKV Elore SC
Our model	57%	21%	21%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dabas (rating 1476 vs 1418).
H2H favours BKV Elore SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dabas	BKV Elore SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	0.8 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +14’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dabas 1–2–3 BKV Elore SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	4-1 HT 2-0	FC Dabas
06/08/25 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	1-2 HT 0-0	BKV Elore SC
28/08/24 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Dabas
31/03/24 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	1-2 HT 1-0	BKV Elore SC
09/09/23 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Dabas
18/02/14 Club Friendly List	FC Dabas	1-0 HT 1-0	BKV Elore SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	12	12	0	0	43	10	36
2	ESMTK	12	8	3	1	33	12	27
3	III Keruleti TUE	11	8	1	2	16	5	25
4	Vasas SC II	12	5	3	4	25	14	18
5	Ujpest II	11	5	3	3	28	18	18
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
7	FC Dabas	11	4	2	5	14	25	14
8	Csepel	11	3	5	3	21	17	14
9	Bekescsabai Elore SE	12	3	5	4	18	17	14
10	Monori SE	12	3	5	4	22	23	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	12	3	5	4	26	28	14
12	Kispest Honved II	11	3	2	6	18	18	11
13	Sandorfalvi SK	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	12	1	5	6	13	25	8
15	Szegedi VSE	12	1	3	8	15	36	6
16	BKV Elore SC	11	1	2	8	8	37	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dabas	BKV Elore SC
Hodmezovasarhelyi	1-1 D	2-2 D
Csepel	1-0 W	1-9 L
ESMTK	0-6 L	0-3 L
III Keruleti TUE	0-1 L	0-2 L
Gyulai Termal	0-5 L	2-4 L
Monori SE	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dabas (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dabas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/10	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/09	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-3	0-6	6	5	L
20/09	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
05/09	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	0	4	L
30/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
26/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
12/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	6	6	W
08/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

BKV Elore SC

LLLLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
03/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
27/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
19/09	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
30/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
26/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-3	1-9	2	5	L
16/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
12/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
09/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dabas vs BKV Elore SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Dabas win (57%). Probabilities: FC Dabas 57%, draw 22%, BKV Elore SC 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dabas vs BKV Elore SC?

The model expects 3.64 goals (FC Dabas 2.28 · BKV Elore SC 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dabas vs BKV Elore SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.