Football · Hungary NB III · 18/10, 11:00

Prediction: Ujpest II vs III Keruleti TUE

Team pages: Ujpest II · III Keruleti TUE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Ujpest II1.38

III Keruleti TUE1.47

1X2

35% 25% 39%

Ujpest II Draw III Keruleti TUE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ujpest II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLWDL

III Keruleti TUE 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWLD

Head-to-head

Ujpest II 1–1 III Keruleti TUE (2 last)

Ujpest II0-2III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE4-5Ujpest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest II 1514 · III Keruleti TUE 1556

	Ujpest II	Draw	III Keruleti TUE
Our model	34%	27%	38%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours III Keruleti TUE (rating 1514 vs 1556).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ujpest II	III Keruleti TUE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.8	1.4 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.1	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +54’	2.50	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest II 1–0–1 III Keruleti TUE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/11/24 Hungary NB III	Ujpest II	0-2 HT 0-2	III Keruleti TUE
28/07/24 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	4-5 HT 3-2	Ujpest II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	12	12	0	0	43	10	36
2	ESMTK	12	8	3	1	33	12	27
3	III Keruleti TUE	11	8	1	2	16	5	25
4	Vasas SC II	12	5	3	4	25	14	18
5	Ujpest II	11	5	3	3	28	18	18
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
7	FC Dabas	11	4	2	5	14	25	14
8	Csepel	11	3	5	3	21	17	14
9	Bekescsabai Elore SE	12	3	5	4	18	17	14
10	Monori SE	12	3	5	4	22	23	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	12	3	5	4	26	28	14
12	Kispest Honved II	11	3	2	6	18	18	11
13	Sandorfalvi SK	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	12	1	5	6	13	25	8
15	Szegedi VSE	12	1	3	8	15	36	6
16	BKV Elore SC	11	1	2	8	8	37	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ujpest II	III Keruleti TUE
Szolnoki Mav FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Kispest Honved II	0-3 L	0-1 L
Szegedi VSE	6-1 W	1-0 W
FC Dabas	2-1 W	1-0 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	2-2 D	1-0 W
Vasas SC II	5-3 W	0-3 L
Sandorfalvi SK	0-1 L	3-0 W
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: III Keruleti TUE (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest II

DLWDWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	11	4	L
03/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
26/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
20/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
06/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	3-1	6-1	4	3	W
30/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
26/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-2	5-3	–	–	W
12/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	7	D

III Keruleti TUE

WWWWLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
26/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
26/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest II vs III Keruleti TUE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an III Keruleti TUE win (39%). Probabilities: Ujpest II 35%, draw 25%, III Keruleti TUE 39%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest II vs III Keruleti TUE?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Ujpest II 1.38 · III Keruleti TUE 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest II vs III Keruleti TUE?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.