Football · England National League North · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Scarborough Athletic vs Marine

Team pages: Scarborough Athletic · Marine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Scarborough Athletic1.47

Marine1.17

1X2

43% 27% 29%

Scarborough Athletic Draw Marine

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Scarborough Athletic 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWLLD

Marine 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWDLL

Head-to-head

Scarborough Athletic 3–1–2 Marine (6 last)

Marine1-1Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic1-2Marine
Scarborough Athletic4-1Marine
Marine0-1Scarborough Athletic
Marine1-0Scarborough Athletic
Marine1-2Scarborough Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scarborough Athletic 1472 · Marine 1503

	Scarborough Athletic	Draw	Marine
Our model	43%	28%	29%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Scarborough Athletic: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scarborough Athletic	Marine
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +28’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Scarborough Athletic 3–1–2 Marine

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 England National League North	Marine	1-1 HT 1-0	Scarborough Athletic
25/10/25 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	1-2 HT 0-0	Marine
05/04/25 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	4-1 HT 1-1	Marine
26/10/24 England National League North	Marine	0-1 HT 0-0	Scarborough Athletic
19/11/22 England FA Trophy	Marine	1-0	Scarborough Athletic
09/03/19 England Northern Premier League	Marine	1-2	Scarborough Athletic

Standings · England National League North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	30	20	32
2	Hereford FC	15	9	2	4	26	12	29
3	Oxford City	14	8	3	3	26	11	27
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	21	11	27
5	Hednesford	16	8	3	5	30	22	27
6	Kings Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	27	21	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	32	27	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	18	14	26
9	Morecambe	15	7	2	6	23	18	23
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	17	19	22
11	AFC Telford	16	6	4	6	18	22	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	20	17	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	24	25	20
14	Worksop	15	6	2	7	20	21	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	20	28	20
16	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	22	23	19
17	Brackley	16	5	4	7	18	27	19
18	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	13	17	17
19	Scarborough Athletic	15	4	4	7	21	22	16
20	Marine	14	5	1	8	17	19	16
21	Radcliffe FC	15	5	1	9	19	27	16
22	Darlington 1883	15	3	2	10	19	28	11
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	15	30	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	14	29	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scarborough Athletic	Marine
Buxton	2-2 D	2-4 L
Radcliffe FC	1-4 L	2-0 W
Merthyr Town	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Marine (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scarborough Athletic

LLDDDLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Buxton England National League North	0-2	2-2	8	2	D
31/10	Morecambe England National League North	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
24/10	Bedford Town England National League North	1-1	1-2	12	7	L
17/10	Hebburn Town England National League North	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
10/10	Radcliffe FC England National League North	0-1	1-4	2	5	L
26/09	Brackley England National League North	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
12/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
08/09	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
05/09	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
31/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	1-1	1-3	3	2	L

Marine

WLLLWWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Buxton England National League North	0-1	2-4	3	1	L
27/10	Chester England National League North	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
24/10	Oxford City England National League North	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
10/10	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
12/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
08/09	South Shields England National League North	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
05/09	Worksop England National League North	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
31/08	Harborough Town England National League North	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
29/08	Radcliffe FC England National League North	1-0	2-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scarborough Athletic vs Marine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scarborough Athletic win (43%). Probabilities: Scarborough Athletic 43%, draw 27%, Marine 29%.

How many goals are expected in Scarborough Athletic vs Marine?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Scarborough Athletic 1.47 · Marine 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Scarborough Athletic vs Marine?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.