Football · England National League South · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond

Team pages: Dorking Wanderers · Hampton & Richmond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Dorking Wanderers2.54

Hampton & Richmond1.28

1X2

63% 20% 17%

Dorking Wanderers Draw Hampton & Richmond

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Dorking Wanderers 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDDWDWDW

Hampton & Richmond 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLLLDL

Head-to-head

Dorking Wanderers 3–2–1 Hampton & Richmond (6 last)

Hampton & Richmond0-2Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers0-3Hampton & Richmond
Dorking Wanderers4-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-2Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers2-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-2Dorking Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorking Wanderers 1568 · Hampton & Richmond 1412

	Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Hampton & Richmond
Our model	64%	19%	17%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorking Wanderers (rating 1568 vs 1412).
H2H favours Dorking Wanderers: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dorking Wanderers	Hampton & Richmond
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.7	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 6.1	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.33

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:29 +20’	1.42	4.33	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorking Wanderers 3–2–1 Hampton & Richmond

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-2 HT 0-2	Dorking Wanderers
16/08/25 England National League South	Dorking Wanderers	0-3 HT 0-1	Hampton & Richmond
18/04/25 England National League South	Dorking Wanderers	4-2 HT 4-0	Hampton & Richmond
04/02/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-2 HT 1-1	Dorking Wanderers
19/03/22 England National League South	Dorking Wanderers	2-2 HT 1-0	Hampton & Richmond
15/01/22 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-2 HT 1-2	Dorking Wanderers

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27	12	30
2	Maidstone Utd	15	9	2	4	26	18	29
3	Ebbsfleet United	13	8	4	1	29	10	28
4	Salisbury FC	14	8	4	2	25	10	28
5	Billericay Town	13	7	4	2	32	16	25
6	Tonbridge Angels	15	7	3	5	27	16	24
7	Dorking Wanderers	14	6	6	2	31	21	24
8	Dag & Red	15	7	3	5	13	11	24
9	Farnham	14	7	2	5	27	19	23
10	Horsham	15	5	7	3	21	16	22
11	Dover	14	6	4	4	20	19	22
12	Chelmsford	13	4	9	0	21	12	21
13	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22	17	20
14	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22	18	20
15	Weston Super Mare	14	5	3	6	21	21	18
16	Farnborough	14	5	2	7	12	25	17
17	Braintree Town	14	5	1	8	21	34	16
18	AFC Totton	15	5	1	9	14	27	16
19	Maidenhead Utd	15	3	6	6	14	19	15
20	Hemel Hempstead	15	3	6	6	14	22	15
21	Chesham	14	3	2	9	20	32	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	14	2	3	9	16	33	9
23	Walton & Hersham	14	2	2	10	10	33	8
24	Slough	15	1	1	13	15	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dorking Wanderers	Hampton & Richmond
Braintree Town	4-3 W	0-1 L
Torquay	2-2 D	1-1 D
Chelmsford	3-3 D	1-1 D
Billericay Town	3-3 D	2-2 D
Truro City	1-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dorking Wanderers (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorking Wanderers

WWDDDWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Weston Super Mare England National League South	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
27/10	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-2	3-3	13	3	D
24/10	Slough England National League South	0-1	3-1	6	4	W
10/10	Dover England National League South	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
26/09	Braintree Town England National League South	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
12/09	Torquay England National League South	1-1	2-2	8	8	D
08/09	Chelmsford England National League South	2-3	3-3	3	5	D
05/09	Billericay Town England National League South	2-2	3-3	7	4	D
31/08	Truro City England National League South	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/08	Walton & Hersham England National League South	2-1	4-1	6	3	W

Hampton & Richmond

DLLWDLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Braintree Town England National League South	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
27/10	Billericay Town England National League South	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/10	Truro City England National League South	2-1	3-4	1	3	L
10/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorking Wanderers win (63%). Probabilities: Dorking Wanderers 63%, draw 20%, Hampton & Richmond 17%.

How many goals are expected in Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Dorking Wanderers 2.54 · Hampton & Richmond 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.