Football · England National League South · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Hampton & Richmond vs Maidenhead Utd

Team pages: Hampton & Richmond · Maidenhead Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Hampton & Richmond1.29

Maidenhead Utd1.81

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Hampton & Richmond Draw Maidenhead Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hampton & Richmond 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLDLL

Maidenhead Utd 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLLLDD

Head-to-head

Hampton & Richmond 0–1–4 Maidenhead Utd (5 last)

Maidenhead Utd2-1Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-3Maidenhead Utd
Hampton & Richmond2-3Maidenhead Utd
Maidenhead Utd0-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-3Maidenhead Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hampton & Richmond 1400 · Maidenhead Utd 1478

	Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Maidenhead Utd
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	26%	25%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maidenhead Utd (rating 1400 vs 1478).
H2H favours Maidenhead Utd: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hampton & Richmond	Maidenhead Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +9’	3.40	3.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hampton & Richmond 0–1–4 Maidenhead Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England National League South	Maidenhead Utd	2-1 HT 1-1	Hampton & Richmond
13/12/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-3 HT 0-2	Maidenhead Utd
20/07/19 UK Friendlies	Hampton & Richmond	2-3 HT 1-1	Maidenhead Utd
04/03/17 England National League South	Maidenhead Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
22/10/16 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-3 HT 1-2	Maidenhead Utd

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	14	9	4	1	35	10	31
2	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27	12	30
3	Maidstone Utd	15	9	2	4	26	18	29
4	Salisbury FC	14	8	4	2	25	10	28
5	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34	23	27
6	Farnham	15	8	2	5	29	19	26
7	Billericay Town	13	7	4	2	32	16	25
8	Tonbridge Angels	15	7	3	5	27	16	24
9	Dag & Red	15	7	3	5	13	11	24
10	Horsham	15	5	7	3	21	16	22
11	Dover	14	6	4	4	20	19	22
12	Chelmsford	14	4	9	1	21	14	21
13	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22	17	20
14	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22	18	20
15	Weston Super Mare	14	5	3	6	21	21	18
16	Farnborough	15	5	2	8	12	31	17
17	Braintree Town	14	5	1	8	21	34	16
18	AFC Totton	15	5	1	9	14	27	16
19	Maidenhead Utd	15	3	6	6	14	19	15
20	Hemel Hempstead	15	3	6	6	14	22	15
21	Chesham	14	3	2	9	20	32	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	15	2	3	10	18	36	9
23	Walton & Hersham	14	2	2	10	10	33	8
24	Slough	15	1	1	13	15	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hampton & Richmond	Maidenhead Utd
Billericay Town	2-2 D	2-2 D
Ebbsfleet United	0-2 L	0-4 L
Dag & Red	0-1 L	0-0 D
AFC Totton	1-4 L	1-1 D
Maidstone Utd	1-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Maidenhead Utd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hampton & Richmond

LLWDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
31/10	Braintree Town England National League South	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
27/10	Billericay Town England National League South	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/10	Truro City England National League South	2-1	3-4	1	3	L
10/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L

Maidenhead Utd

DWLDWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/10	Horsham England National League South	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
24/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-2	0-4	2	4	L
17/10	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
10/10	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
26/09	Chesham England National League South	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
12/09	Billericay Town England National League South	1-1	2-2	10	2	D
08/09	Torquay England National League South	0-0	0-4	2	9	L
05/09	Dover England National League South	1-0	3-0	13	5	W
31/08	AFC Totton England National League South	1-1	1-1	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hampton & Richmond vs Maidenhead Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maidenhead Utd win (49%). Probabilities: Hampton & Richmond 26%, draw 25%, Maidenhead Utd 49%.

How many goals are expected in Hampton & Richmond vs Maidenhead Utd?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Hampton & Richmond 1.29 · Maidenhead Utd 1.81), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hampton & Richmond vs Maidenhead Utd?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.