Prediction: EC Bahia vs Flamengo
Team pages: EC Bahia · Flamengo
- Flamengo2-0EC Bahia
- EC Bahia1-0Flamengo
- Flamengo1-0EC Bahia
- EC Bahia0-2Flamengo
- Flamengo1-0EC Bahia
- EC Bahia0-1Flamengo
| EC Bahia | Draw | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (rating 1527 vs 1615).
- H2H favours Flamengo: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EC Bahia | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 3.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Bahia 1–0–5 Flamengo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | EC Bahia |
| 05/10/25 Brazil Serie A | EC Bahia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Flamengo |
| 11/05/25 Brazil Serie A | Flamengo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | EC Bahia |
| 06/10/24 Brazil Serie A | EC Bahia | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Flamengo |
| 13/09/24 Copa do Brasil | Flamengo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | EC Bahia |
| 29/08/24 Copa do Brasil | EC Bahia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Flamengo |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 5 | Atletico Mineiro | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 49 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 48 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 42 |
| 9 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 45 | 42 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 40 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EC Bahia | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Remo | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bragantino | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Vitoria | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Fluminense | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Flamengo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EC Bahia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/07 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
Flamengo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 20/09 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 20 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EC Bahia vs Flamengo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Flamengo win (45%). Probabilities: EC Bahia 27%, draw 28%, Flamengo 45%.
How many goals are expected in EC Bahia vs Flamengo?
The model expects 2.58 goals (EC Bahia 1.09 · Flamengo 1.48), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in EC Bahia vs Flamengo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.