Prediction: Palmeiras vs Bragantino
Team pages: Palmeiras · Bragantino
- Bragantino0-1Palmeiras
- Palmeiras5-1Bragantino
- Bragantino1-2Palmeiras
- Palmeiras0-0Bragantino
- Bragantino0-0Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-1Bragantino
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (rating 1591 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Palmeiras: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palmeiras | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.1 | 2.7 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmeiras 4–2–0 Bragantino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| 16/10/25 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Bragantino |
| 18/05/25 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Palmeiras |
| 28/01/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista | Palmeiras | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bragantino |
| 05/10/24 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Palmeiras |
| 21/06/24 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bragantino |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico Mineiro | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 42 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 49 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palmeiras | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| EC Bahia | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Gremio | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Sao Paulo | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Botafogo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Mirassol | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Palmeiras (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palmeiras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 12/09 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Bragantino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/10 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 03/10 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras win (61%). Probabilities: Palmeiras 61%, draw 24%, Bragantino 15%.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Palmeiras 1.88 · Bragantino 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.