Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 09/10, 10:45

Prediction: Rahmatgonj MFS vs PWD Sports Club

Team pages: Rahmatgonj MFS · PWD Sports Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Rahmatgonj MFS1.22

PWD Sports Club0.96

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Rahmatgonj MFS Draw PWD Sports Club

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Rahmatgonj MFS 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWDLD

PWD Sports Club 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWDDD

Head-to-head

Rahmatgonj MFS 2–1 PWD Sports Club (3 last)

PWD Sports Club0-2Rahmatgonj MFS
PWD Sports Club2-0Rahmatgonj MFS
Rahmatgonj MFS2-1PWD Sports Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rahmatgonj MFS 1484 · PWD Sports Club 1472

	Rahmatgonj MFS	Draw	PWD Sports Club
Our model	41%	32%	28%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rahmatgonj MFS: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rahmatgonj MFS	PWD Sports Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.9	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:29 +14’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rahmatgonj MFS 2–0–1 PWD Sports Club

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 Bangladesh Federation Cup	PWD Sports Club	0-2 HT 0-0	Rahmatgonj MFS
10/04/26 Bangladesh Premier League	PWD Sports Club	2-0 HT 1-0	Rahmatgonj MFS
25/11/25 Bangladesh Premier League	Rahmatgonj MFS	2-1 HT 1-0	PWD Sports Club

Standings · Bangladesh Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bangladesh Police Club	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Fortis FC	2	1	1	0	9	3	4
3	Dhaka Abahani	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
4	MSPCC City Club	2	1	1	0	6	3	4
5	Mohammedan Dhaka	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Arambagh KS	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
8	PWD Sports Club	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Bashundhara Kings	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	Rahmatgonj MFS	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
11	Brothers Union	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
12	Dhaka Wanderers Club	2	0	0	2	2	7	0
13	Chattogram City FC	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rahmatgonj MFS	PWD Sports Club
Arambagh KS	2-2 D	0-3 L
Bangladesh Police Club	0-1 L	0-1 L
Mohammedan Dhaka	1-0 W	1-3 L
Brothers Union	1-3 L	1-1 D
Fortis FC	2-3 L	2-2 D
Fakirapool Young Men's Club	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rahmatgonj MFS (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rahmatgonj MFS

WLDLLLWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
18/09	Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
23/05	Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
15/05	Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
09/05	Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League	1-1	1-3	2	1	L
01/05	Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League	2-2	2-3	6	1	L
24/04	Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
17/04	Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
10/04	PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	0-2	7	9	L
13/03	Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League	1-0	3-0	0	1	W

PWD Sports Club

LWWLLLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
18/09	Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
23/05	Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	2-2	3	3	D
15/05	Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/05	Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
01/05	Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
25/04	Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
18/04	Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
10/04	Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
14/03	Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rahmatgonj MFS vs PWD Sports Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rahmatgonj MFS win (42%). Probabilities: Rahmatgonj MFS 42%, draw 29%, PWD Sports Club 29%.

How many goals are expected in Rahmatgonj MFS vs PWD Sports Club?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Rahmatgonj MFS 1.22 · PWD Sports Club 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rahmatgonj MFS vs PWD Sports Club?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.