Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 10/10, 10:45

Prediction: Bangladesh Police Club vs Fakirapool Young Men's Club

Team pages: Bangladesh Police Club · Fakirapool Young Men's Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Bangladesh Police Club2.46

Fakirapool Young Men's Club0.46

1X2

82% 13% 5%

Bangladesh Police Club Draw Fakirapool Young Men's Club

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Bangladesh Police Club 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLLWWDWDWW

Fakirapool Young Men's Club 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Bangladesh Police Club 4–1–1 Fakirapool Young Men's Club (6 last)

Fakirapool Young Men's Club1-3Bangladesh Police Club
Bangladesh Police Club1-1Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Fakirapool Young Men's Club0-3Bangladesh Police Club
Bangladesh Police Club4-1Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Bangladesh Police Club1-0Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Fakirapool Young Men's Club1-0Bangladesh Police Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bangladesh Police Club 1517 · Fakirapool Young Men's Club 1404

	Bangladesh Police Club	Draw	Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Our model	81%	15%	5%
Market	83%	11%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangladesh Police Club (rating 1517 vs 1404).
H2H favours Bangladesh Police Club: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bangladesh Police Club	Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.6	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.13

X8.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +9’	1.13	8.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangladesh Police Club 4–1–1 Fakirapool Young Men's Club

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Bangladesh Premier League	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	1-3 HT 0-2	Bangladesh Police Club
06/12/25 Bangladesh Premier League	Bangladesh Police Club	1-1 HT 0-1	Fakirapool Young Men's Club
11/04/25 Bangladesh Premier League	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	0-3 HT 0-0	Bangladesh Police Club
07/12/24 Bangladesh Premier League	Bangladesh Police Club	4-1 HT 1-1	Fakirapool Young Men's Club
23/04/19 Bangladesh Championship League	Bangladesh Police Club	1-0 HT 0-0	Fakirapool Young Men's Club
24/02/19 Bangladesh Championship League	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	1-0 HT 1-0	Bangladesh Police Club

Standings · Bangladesh Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bangladesh Police Club	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Fortis FC	2	1	1	0	9	3	4
3	Dhaka Abahani	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
4	MSPCC City Club	2	1	1	0	6	3	4
5	Mohammedan Dhaka	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Arambagh KS	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
8	PWD Sports Club	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Bashundhara Kings	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	Rahmatgonj MFS	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
11	Brothers Union	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
12	Dhaka Wanderers Club	2	0	0	2	2	7	0
13	Chattogram City FC	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bangladesh Police Club	Fakirapool Young Men's Club
Rahmatgonj MFS	1-0 W	0-3 L
Bashundhara Kings	1-1 D	1-4 L
PWD Sports Club	1-0 W	0-1 L
Dhaka Abahani	1-3 L	0-2 L
Fortis FC	0-2 L	1-7 L
Mohammedan Dhaka	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Bangladesh Police Club (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bangladesh Police Club

DLLWWDWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Chattogram City FC Bangladesh Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	7	W
18/09	Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
23/05	Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
15/05	Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/05	Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	9	D
01/05	PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
25/04	Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/04	Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League	1-1	1-3	1	10	L
11/04	Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
13/03	Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	3	D

Fakirapool Young Men's Club

LLLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
18/09	Dhaka Wanderers Club Bangladesh Premier League	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
23/05	Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/05	PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League	1-3	1-7	1	0	L
01/05	Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/04	Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
10/04	Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
13/03	Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bangladesh Police Club vs Fakirapool Young Men's Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bangladesh Police Club win (82%). Probabilities: Bangladesh Police Club 82%, draw 13%, Fakirapool Young Men's Club 5%.

How many goals are expected in Bangladesh Police Club vs Fakirapool Young Men's Club?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Bangladesh Police Club 2.46 · Fakirapool Young Men's Club 0.46), with a 61% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bangladesh Police Club vs Fakirapool Young Men's Club?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.