Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 09/10, 10:45
Prediction: Brothers Union vs Fortis FC
Team pages: Brothers Union · Fortis FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Brothers Union1.04
Fortis FC2.1
1X2
Brothers Union
Draw
Fortis FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Brothers Union
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Fortis FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brothers Union
1–3–2
Fortis FC
(6 last)
- Fortis FC2-0Brothers Union
- Brothers Union1-1Fortis FC
- Brothers Union0-2Fortis FC
- Brothers Union1-0Fortis FC
- Fortis FC1-1Brothers Union
- Brothers Union1-1Fortis FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brothers Union 1433 · Fortis FC 1561
| Brothers Union | Draw | Fortis FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortis FC (rating 1433 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Fortis FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brothers Union | Fortis FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 2.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 3.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brothers Union 1–3–2 Fortis FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Bangladesh Premier League | Fortis FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Brothers Union |
| 27/12/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fortis FC |
| 12/04/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fortis FC |
| 14/01/25 Bangladesh Federation Cup | Brothers Union | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortis FC |
| 07/12/24 Bangladesh Premier League | Fortis FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Brothers Union |
| 11/05/24 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Fortis FC |
Standings · Bangladesh Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh Police Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortis FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Dhaka Abahani | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | MSPCC City Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Arambagh KS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | PWD Sports Club | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | Bashundhara Kings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Brothers Union | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Dhaka Wanderers Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | Chattogram City FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brothers Union | Fortis FC |
|---|---|---|
| PWD Sports Club | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| MSPCC City Club | 0-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Rahmatgonj MFS | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Arambagh KS | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Bashundhara Kings | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 2-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Dhaka Abahani | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortis FC (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brothers Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | MSPCC City Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Fortis FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | MSPCC City Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | Chattogram City FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
3-1 | 7-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brothers Union vs Fortis FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fortis FC win (61%). Probabilities: Brothers Union 17%, draw 22%, Fortis FC 61%.
How many goals are expected in Brothers Union vs Fortis FC?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Brothers Union 1.04 · Fortis FC 2.1), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brothers Union vs Fortis FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.