Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 17/10, 10:45
Prediction: Rahmatgonj MFS vs Brothers Union
Team pages: Rahmatgonj MFS · Brothers Union
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Rahmatgonj MFS1.6
Brothers Union1.09
1X2
Rahmatgonj MFS
Draw
Brothers Union
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Rahmatgonj MFS
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Brothers Union
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rahmatgonj MFS
1–4–1
Brothers Union
(6 last)
- Rahmatgonj MFS0-0Brothers Union
- Brothers Union3-1Rahmatgonj MFS
- Rahmatgonj MFS3-2Brothers Union
- Rahmatgonj MFS0-0Brothers Union
- Brothers Union0-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Brothers Union1-1Rahmatgonj MFS
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rahmatgonj MFS 1446 · Brothers Union 1436
| Rahmatgonj MFS | Draw | Brothers Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rahmatgonj MFS | Brothers Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.1 | 0.6 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rahmatgonj MFS 1–4–1 Brothers Union
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/26 Bangladesh Federation Cup | Rahmatgonj MFS | 0-0 | Brothers Union |
| 09/05/26 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Rahmatgonj MFS |
| 19/12/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Rahmatgonj MFS | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Brothers Union |
| 24/10/25 Bangladesh Federation Cup | Rahmatgonj MFS | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brothers Union |
| 03/05/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Brothers Union | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rahmatgonj MFS |
| 08/04/25 Bangladesh Federation Cup | Brothers Union | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rahmatgonj MFS |
Standings · Bangladesh Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh Police Club | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fortis FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | MSPCC City Club | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Bashundhara Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Dhaka Abahani | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | PWD Sports Club | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Arambagh KS | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 11 | Brothers Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | Chattogram City FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 | Dhaka Wanderers Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rahmatgonj MFS | Brothers Union |
|---|---|---|
| PWD Sports Club | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Arambagh KS | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Mohammedan Dhaka | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Fortis FC | 2-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Bashundhara Kings | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rahmatgonj MFS (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rahmatgonj MFS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
Brothers Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 02/10 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | MSPCC City Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rahmatgonj MFS vs Brothers Union?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rahmatgonj MFS win (49%). Probabilities: Rahmatgonj MFS 49%, draw 25%, Brothers Union 26%.
How many goals are expected in Rahmatgonj MFS vs Brothers Union?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Rahmatgonj MFS 1.6 · Brothers Union 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rahmatgonj MFS vs Brothers Union?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.