Football · Bangladesh Premier League · 16/10, 10:45
Prediction: PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka
Team pages: PWD Sports Club · Mohammedan Dhaka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
PWD Sports Club0.66
Mohammedan Dhaka2.41
1X2
PWD Sports Club
Draw
Mohammedan Dhaka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
PWD Sports Club
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Mohammedan Dhaka
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PWD Sports Club
0–2
Mohammedan Dhaka
(2 last)
- PWD Sports Club1-3Mohammedan Dhaka
- Mohammedan Dhaka4-0PWD Sports Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PWD Sports Club 1497 · Mohammedan Dhaka 1568
| PWD Sports Club | Draw | Mohammedan Dhaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 17% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 15% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohammedan Dhaka (rating 1497 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Mohammedan Dhaka: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PWD Sports Club | Mohammedan Dhaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PWD Sports Club 0–0–2 Mohammedan Dhaka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Bangladesh Premier League | PWD Sports Club | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Mohammedan Dhaka |
| 06/12/25 Bangladesh Premier League | Mohammedan Dhaka | 4-0 HT 1-0 | PWD Sports Club |
Standings · Bangladesh Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh Police Club | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fortis FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | MSPCC City Club | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Bashundhara Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Dhaka Abahani | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | PWD Sports Club | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Arambagh KS | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 11 | Brothers Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | Chattogram City FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 | Dhaka Wanderers Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PWD Sports Club | Mohammedan Dhaka |
|---|---|---|
| Rahmatgonj MFS | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Brothers Union | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Dhaka Abahani | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Fakirapool Young Men's Club | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Bangladesh Police Club | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PWD Sports Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/10 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Fortis FC Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
Mohammedan Dhaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mohammedan Dhaka win (76%). Probabilities: PWD Sports Club 8%, draw 16%, Mohammedan Dhaka 76%.
How many goals are expected in PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
The model expects 3.07 goals (PWD Sports Club 0.66 · Mohammedan Dhaka 2.41), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.