Football · Uruguay Clausura · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Club Atletico Progreso vs Juventud De Las Piedras

Team pages: Club Atletico Progreso · Juventud De Las Piedras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Club Atletico Progreso0.91

Juventud De Las Piedras1.19

1X2

27% 32% 41%

Club Atletico Progreso Draw Juventud De Las Piedras

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atletico Progreso 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWLD

Juventud De Las Piedras 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDDWDDW

Head-to-head

Club Atletico Progreso 1–1–4 Juventud De Las Piedras (6 last)

Juventud De Las Piedras2-0Club Atletico Progreso
Juventud De Las Piedras1-0Club Atletico Progreso
Juventud De Las Piedras0-1Club Atletico Progreso
Juventud De Las Piedras1-1Club Atletico Progreso
Juventud De Las Piedras2-0Club Atletico Progreso
Club Atletico Progreso1-2Juventud De Las Piedras

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud De Las Piedras (rating 1458 vs 1555).
H2H favours Juventud De Las Piedras: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atletico Progreso	Juventud De Las Piedras
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.87

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.25
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	2.04 → 2.04	Pinn 2.04

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +60’	3.25	3.57	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico Progreso 1–1–4 Juventud De Las Piedras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Juventud De Las Piedras	2-0 HT 2-0	Club Atletico Progreso
12/04/26 Uruguay Apertura	Juventud De Las Piedras	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Atletico Progreso
19/01/26 Uruguay Copa de la Liga	Juventud De Las Piedras	0-1 HT 0-1	Club Atletico Progreso
09/11/25 Uruguay Clausura	Juventud De Las Piedras	1-1 HT 0-1	Club Atletico Progreso
29/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Juventud De Las Piedras	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Atletico Progreso
18/05/25 Uruguay Apertura	Club Atletico Progreso	1-2 HT 0-1	Juventud De Las Piedras

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montevideo Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12	4	15
2	Nacional De Football	7	4	1	2	8	8	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12	6	12
4	Torque	7	4	0	3	11	11	12
5	Juventud De Las Piedras	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	6	8	6
7	Club Atletico Progreso	7	2	0	5	6	11	6
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5	9	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atletico Progreso	Juventud De Las Piedras
Racing Club de Montevideo	2-1 W	2-0 W
Boston River	2-1 W	0-0 D
Cerro	1-3 L	0-0 D
Albion FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Danubio	1-0 W	1-1 D
Nacional De Football	0-1 L	2-2 D
Deportivo Maldonado	0-2 L	2-0 W
Central Espanol	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud De Las Piedras (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atletico Progreso

LLLWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Penarol Uruguay Clausura	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/10	Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	0-1	2-3	4	8	L
26/09	Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/09	Boston River Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	Cerro Uruguay Clausura	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
07/09	Albion FC Uruguay Clausura	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
29/08	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/08	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
16/08	Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
08/08	Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Juventud De Las Piedras

DLWWDDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	2-0	2-0	2	9	W
04/10	Boston River Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
27/09	Cerro Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
20/09	Albion FC Uruguay Clausura	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
13/09	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
29/08	Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
22/08	Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Torque Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura	0-1	1-1	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atletico Progreso vs Juventud De Las Piedras?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventud De Las Piedras win (41%). Probabilities: Club Atletico Progreso 27%, draw 32%, Juventud De Las Piedras 41%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atletico Progreso vs Juventud De Las Piedras?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Club Atletico Progreso 0.91 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1.19), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atletico Progreso vs Juventud De Las Piedras?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.