Football · Uruguay Clausura · 24/10, 01:00
Prediction: Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club de Montevideo
Team pages: Defensor Sporting · Racing Club de Montevideo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Defensor Sporting1.14
Racing Club de Montevideo1.08
1X2
Defensor Sporting
Draw
Racing Club de Montevideo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensor Sporting
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Racing Club de Montevideo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensor Sporting
3–2–1
Racing Club de Montevideo
(6 last)
- Racing Club de Montevideo0-0Defensor Sporting
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-1Defensor Sporting
- Racing Club de Montevideo0-1Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting2-0Racing Club de Montevideo
- Defensor Sporting1-0Racing Club de Montevideo
- Defensor Sporting1-2Racing Club de Montevideo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club de Montevideo (rating 1438 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Defensor Sporting: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensor Sporting | Racing Club de Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensor Sporting 3–2–1 Racing Club de Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 18/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 17/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 16/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Defensor Sporting | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 24/10/24 Uruguay Cup | Defensor Sporting | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 14/09/24 Uruguay Clausura | Defensor Sporting | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensor Sporting | Racing Club de Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Cerro | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Albion FC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Danubio | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Nacional De Football | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club de Montevideo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensor Sporting
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 13 | L |
| 03/10 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 10 | L |
Racing Club de Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 05/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensor Sporting win (36%). Probabilities: Defensor Sporting 36%, draw 32%, Racing Club de Montevideo 33%.
How many goals are expected in Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Defensor Sporting 1.14 · Racing Club de Montevideo 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.