Prediction: Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
Team pages: Deportivo Maldonado · Danubio
- Deportivo Maldonado3-1Danubio
- Danubio1-1Deportivo Maldonado
- Deportivo Maldonado3-1Danubio
- Danubio1-1Deportivo Maldonado
- Deportivo Maldonado1-2Danubio
- Danubio4-0Deportivo Maldonado
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Maldonado (rating 1610 vs 1478).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maldonado 2–2–2 Danubio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Deportivo Maldonado | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Danubio |
| 19/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 02/12/24 Uruguay Clausura | Deportivo Maldonado | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Danubio |
| 03/06/24 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 06/11/23 Uruguay Clausura | Deportivo Maldonado | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 25/03/23 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Maldonado |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Torque | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Cerro Largo | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Defensor Sporting | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Penarol | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maldonado (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Maldonado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maldonado win (48%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maldonado 48%, draw 29%, Danubio 23%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Deportivo Maldonado 1.37 · Danubio 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.