Prediction: Cerro Largo vs Boston River
Team pages: Cerro Largo · Boston River
- Cerro Largo3-0Boston River
- Boston River1-0Cerro Largo
- Cerro Largo2-2Boston River
- Boston River1-0Cerro Largo
- Boston River3-0Cerro Largo
- Boston River0-2Cerro Largo
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boston River (rating 1450 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Boston River: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro Largo | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro Largo 2–1–3 Boston River
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Cerro Largo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Boston River |
| 20/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Boston River | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 11/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Cerro Largo | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Boston River |
| 13/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Boston River | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 03/11/24 Uruguay Clausura | Boston River | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 17/06/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Boston River | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cerro Largo |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro Largo | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Albion FC | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Danubio | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Defensor Sporting | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Boston River (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro Largo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Boston River
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boston River win (35%). Probabilities: Cerro Largo 34%, draw 31%, Boston River 35%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Cerro Largo 0.97 · Boston River 0.99), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.