Prediction: Montevideo Wanderers vs Club Atletico Progreso
Team pages: Montevideo Wanderers · Club Atletico Progreso
- Montevideo Wanderers2-0Club Atletico Progreso
- Club Atletico Progreso2-1Montevideo Wanderers
- Club Atletico Progreso2-0Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers1-1Club Atletico Progreso
- Club Atletico Progreso0-0Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers4-2Club Atletico Progreso
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Club Atletico Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montevideo Wanderers | Club Atletico Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montevideo Wanderers 2–2–2 Club Atletico Progreso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Montevideo Wanderers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Progreso |
| 18/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Club Atletico Progreso | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 21/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Club Atletico Progreso | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 27/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Club Atletico Progreso |
| 10/11/24 Uruguay Clausura | Club Atletico Progreso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 14/07/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Montevideo Wanderers | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Club Atletico Progreso |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montevideo Wanderers | Club Atletico Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Boston River | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Cerro | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Albion FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Danubio | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Nacional De Football | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Atletico Progreso (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Club Atletico Progreso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montevideo Wanderers vs Club Atletico Progreso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montevideo Wanderers win (42%). Probabilities: Montevideo Wanderers 42%, draw 29%, Club Atletico Progreso 29%.
How many goals are expected in Montevideo Wanderers vs Club Atletico Progreso?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Montevideo Wanderers 1.43 · Club Atletico Progreso 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montevideo Wanderers vs Club Atletico Progreso?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.