Prediction: Torque vs Cerro
- Cerro1-1Torque
- Torque1-2Cerro
- Cerro1-2Torque
- Torque1-0Cerro
- Cerro0-2Torque
- Cerro1-3Torque
| Torque | Draw | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torque (rating 1533 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Torque: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torque | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 4–1–1 Cerro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Torque |
| 18/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Torque | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Cerro |
| 20/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Torque |
| 18/11/23 Uruguay Clausura | Torque | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
| 17/04/23 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Torque |
| 31/01/21 Uruguay Clausura | Cerro | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Torque |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torque | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Albion FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Penarol | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Cerro Largo | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Defensor Sporting | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Torque (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 06/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 01/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Cerro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 13 | W |
| 04/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torque vs Cerro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torque win (61%). Probabilities: Torque 61%, draw 24%, Cerro 15%.
How many goals are expected in Torque vs Cerro?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Torque 1.94 · Cerro 0.88), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Torque vs Cerro?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.