Football · Uruguay Clausura · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Racing Club de Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers

Team pages: Racing Club de Montevideo · Montevideo Wanderers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Racing Club de Montevideo1.44
Montevideo Wanderers1.11
1X2
43% 29% 28%
Racing Club de Montevideo Draw Montevideo Wanderers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club de Montevideo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWDLLL
Montevideo Wanderers 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWLDDWWL
Head-to-head
Racing Club de Montevideo 2–2–2 Montevideo Wanderers (6 last)
  • Montevideo Wanderers1-2Racing Club de Montevideo
  • Racing Club de Montevideo1-0Montevideo Wanderers
  • Racing Club de Montevideo0-0Montevideo Wanderers
  • Montevideo Wanderers0-0Racing Club de Montevideo
  • Racing Club de Montevideo0-1Montevideo Wanderers
  • Racing Club de Montevideo0-1Montevideo Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Club de Montevideo 1478 · Montevideo Wanderers 1474
Racing Club de MontevideoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
Our model43%29%28%
Market43%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Racing Club de MontevideoMontevideo Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.92 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.34.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club de Montevideo 2–2–2 Montevideo Wanderers

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Uruguay Apertura
Montevideo Wanderers1-2
HT 1-0
Racing Club de Montevideo
03/08/25
Uruguay Clausura
Racing Club de Montevideo1-0
HT 0-0
Montevideo Wanderers
05/03/25
Copa Sudamericana
Racing Club de Montevideo0-0
HT 0-0
Montevideo Wanderers
03/02/25
Uruguay Apertura
Montevideo Wanderers0-0
HT 0-0
Racing Club de Montevideo
07/09/24
Uruguay Clausura
Racing Club de Montevideo0-1
HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
20/07/24
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
Racing Club de Montevideo0-1
HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo Wanderers 7430 12415
2 Nacional De Football 7412 8813
3 Deportivo Maldonado 7331 12612
4 Torque 7403 111112
5 Juventud De Las Piedras 7223 8118
6 Albion FC 7133 686
7 Club Atletico Progreso 7205 6116
8 Danubio 7043 594

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRacing Club de MontevideoMontevideo Wanderers
Boston River 3-2 W 1-3 L
Cerro 0-1 L 2-0 W
Albion FC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Danubio 0-0 D 1-1 D
Nacional De Football 2-0 W 1-1 D
Deportivo Maldonado 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club de Montevideo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Club de Montevideo

DWDWLWDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Juventud De Las Piedras
Uruguay Clausura
0-2 0-2 69 L
05/10 Penarol
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 0-1 49 L
26/09 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 1-2 65 L
21/09 Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 0-0 36 D
12/09 Boston River
Uruguay Clausura
1-0 3-2 25 W
06/09 Cerro
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 0-1 95 L
31/08 Albion FC
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 65 W
23/08 Danubio
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 2-0 46 W
11/08 Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay Clausura
2-2 2-2 54 D

Montevideo Wanderers

WDLWLDDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Boston River
Uruguay Clausura
1-1 1-3 74 L
04/10 Cerro
Uruguay Clausura
2-0 2-0 16 W
29/09 Albion FC
Uruguay Clausura
2-0 2-1 37 W
20/09 Danubio
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-1 53 D
12/09 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-1 34 D
05/09 Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 0-2 25 L
29/08 Central Espanol
Uruguay Clausura
2-0 3-0 65 W
23/08 Torque
Uruguay Clausura
0-2 1-5 72 L
16/08 Cerro Largo
Uruguay Clausura
1-0 1-1 57 D
09/08 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 58 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club de Montevideo win (43%). Probabilities: Racing Club de Montevideo 43%, draw 29%, Montevideo Wanderers 28%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Racing Club de Montevideo 1.44 · Montevideo Wanderers 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.