Prediction: Danubio vs Central Espanol
Team pages: Danubio · Central Espanol
- Central Espanol0-6Danubio
- Central Espanol2-2Danubio
- Danubio1-1Central Espanol
- Central Espanol0-0Danubio
| Danubio | Draw | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Danubio (rating 1470 vs 1423).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Danubio | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.9 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Danubio 1–3–0 Central Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/26 Uruguay Cup | Central Espanol | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Danubio |
| 12/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Central Espanol | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Danubio |
| 15/09/21 Uruguay Segunda | Danubio | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Central Espanol |
| 02/06/21 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Danubio | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Torque | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Cerro Largo | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Defensor Sporting | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Penarol | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Danubio (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
Central Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 22/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Central Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Danubio win (47%). Probabilities: Danubio 47%, draw 30%, Central Espanol 24%.
How many goals are expected in Danubio vs Central Espanol?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Danubio 1.4 · Central Espanol 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Central Espanol?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.