Football · Uruguay Clausura · 17/10, 21:00
Prediction: Boston River vs Defensor Sporting
Team pages: Boston River · Defensor Sporting
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Boston River1.74
Defensor Sporting0.8
1X2
Boston River
Draw
Defensor Sporting
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Boston River
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Defensor Sporting
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boston River
2–1–3
Defensor Sporting
(6 last)
- Defensor Sporting1-1Boston River
- Defensor Sporting2-0Boston River
- Boston River4-0Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting2-0Boston River
- Boston River0-1Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting1-2Boston River
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boston River (rating 1522 vs 1437).
- H2H favours Defensor Sporting: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston River | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston River 2–1–3 Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Defensor Sporting | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Boston River |
| 11/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Defensor Sporting | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boston River |
| 03/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Boston River | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 01/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Defensor Sporting | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boston River |
| 22/11/24 Uruguay Cup | Boston River | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 12/10/24 Uruguay Clausura | Defensor Sporting | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Boston River |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boston River | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Montevideo Wanderers | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Cerro | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Albion FC | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Danubio | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Nacional De Football | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Boston River (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston River
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 13 | L |
| 03/10 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 09/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston River win (58%). Probabilities: Boston River 58%, draw 26%, Defensor Sporting 16%.
How many goals are expected in Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Boston River 1.74 · Defensor Sporting 0.8), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.