Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 11/10, 22:00

Prediction: Rubio Nu vs Olimpia Asuncion

Team pages: Rubio Nu · Olimpia Asuncion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Rubio Nu1.08

Olimpia Asuncion1.76

1X2

22% 26% 52%

Rubio Nu Draw Olimpia Asuncion

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rubio Nu 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLLDW

Olimpia Asuncion 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Rubio Nu 0–2–4 Olimpia Asuncion (6 last)

Olimpia Asuncion5-0Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu0-2Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion0-0Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu0-0Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion3-0Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu0-1Olimpia Asuncion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rubio Nu 1453 · Olimpia Asuncion 1602

	Rubio Nu	Draw	Olimpia Asuncion
Our model	22%	26%	52%
Market	22%	26%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1453 vs 1602).
H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rubio Nu	Olimpia Asuncion
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.40

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.77

2 (-0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.10▼	Pinn 4.18
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.85 ★
2	1.67 → 1.73▲	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:54 +13’	4.33	3.50	1.67
06:15 +4’	4.20▼	3.40▼	1.73▲
12:44 +7’	4.10▼	3.40	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +1845’	4.29	3.85	1.73
22:01 +77’	4.35▲	3.90▲	1.75▲
06:12 +7’	4.15▼	3.82▼	1.80▲
10:02 +17’	4.18▲	3.85▲	1.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu 0–2–4 Olimpia Asuncion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	5-0 HT 2-0	Rubio Nu
12/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Rubio Nu	0-2 HT 0-1	Olimpia Asuncion
14/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	0-0 HT 0-0	Rubio Nu
19/10/17 Paraguay Division Profesional	Rubio Nu	0-0 HT 0-0	Olimpia Asuncion
06/08/17 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	3-0 HT 2-0	Rubio Nu
28/05/17 Paraguay Division Profesional	Rubio Nu	0-1 HT 0-1	Olimpia Asuncion

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rubio Nu	Olimpia Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano	2-1 W	2-1 W
2 de Mayo	2-2 D	0-1 L
Cerro Porteno	0-1 L	2-1 W
Nacional Asuncion	0-1 L	1-1 D
Libertad Asuncion	2-4 L	1-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo	3-1 W	3-0 W
Sportivo Luqueno	1-2 L	3-0 W
Sportivo Trinidense	0-0 D	2-1 W
Guarani Asuncion	3-2 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Recoleta	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rubio Nu

LWDLWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
26/09	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
19/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
13/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
01/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	3-1	5	7	W
28/08	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
07/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-3	5	5	L

Olimpia Asuncion

LWWWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
29/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
20/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	2	4	W
06/09	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
02/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
29/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
23/08	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
16/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	2-1	8	7	W
08/08	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu vs Olimpia Asuncion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion win (52%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu 22%, draw 26%, Olimpia Asuncion 52%.

How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu vs Olimpia Asuncion?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Rubio Nu 1.08 · Olimpia Asuncion 1.76), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rubio Nu vs Olimpia Asuncion?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.