Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 12/10, 22:00

Prediction: 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano

Team pages: 2 de Mayo · Sportivo Ameliano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

2 de Mayo1.29

Sportivo Ameliano1.27

1X2

36% 30% 35%

2 de Mayo Draw Sportivo Ameliano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

2 de Mayo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLLDW

Sportivo Ameliano 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWDDL

Head-to-head

2 de Mayo 1–2–3 Sportivo Ameliano (6 last)

Sportivo Ameliano1-12 de Mayo
2 de Mayo1-2Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano3-02 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano2-32 de Mayo
2 de Mayo1-1Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo1-4Sportivo Ameliano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo 1517 · Sportivo Ameliano 1498

	2 de Mayo	Draw	Sportivo Ameliano
Our model	36%	29%	35%
Market	35%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sportivo Ameliano: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	2 de Mayo	Sportivo Ameliano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.71 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.01
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +4’	2.55	3.00	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:16 +1977’	2.71	3.01	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo 1–2–3 Sportivo Ameliano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Ameliano	1-1 HT 0-1	2 de Mayo
10/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	1-2 HT 1-0	Sportivo Ameliano
15/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Ameliano	3-0 HT 1-0	2 de Mayo
10/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Ameliano	2-3 HT 1-1	2 de Mayo
23/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	1-1 HT 1-0	Sportivo Ameliano
21/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	1-4 HT 1-1	Sportivo Ameliano

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	2 de Mayo	Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno	2-0 W	1-0 W
Rubio Nu	2-2 D	1-2 L
Nacional Asuncion	0-3 L	1-1 D
Libertad Asuncion	0-2 L	1-1 D
Sportivo San Lorenzo	2-1 W	1-0 W
Sportivo Luqueno	2-2 D	2-1 W
Sportivo Trinidense	1-0 W	0-3 L
Guarani Asuncion	0-0 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Recoleta	2-1 W	3-1 W
Olimpia Asuncion	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

2 de Mayo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/09	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
18/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	11	7	L
11/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
01/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
29/08	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
25/08	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
14/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	0	1	W
08/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Sportivo Ameliano

WLWDLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
26/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
19/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
11/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
02/09	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
30/08	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
22/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
16/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
08/08	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 2 de Mayo win (36%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo 36%, draw 30%, Sportivo Ameliano 35%.

How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

The model expects 2.55 goals (2 de Mayo 1.29 · Sportivo Ameliano 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.