Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 11/10, 01:30

Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Team pages: Metropolitanos FC · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Metropolitanos FC2.44

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.85

1X2

72% 18% 10%

Metropolitanos FC Draw Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Metropolitanos FC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWWW

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLDWD

Head-to-head

Metropolitanos FC 5–1–0 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano (6 last)

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-1Metropolitanos FC
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-1Metropolitanos FC
Metropolitanos FC4-2Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Metropolitanos FC2-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-2Metropolitanos FC
Metropolitanos FC1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1603 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1496

	Metropolitanos FC	Draw	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Our model	71%	18%	10%
Market	72%	18%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metropolitanos FC (rating 1603 vs 1496).
H2H favours Metropolitanos FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Metropolitanos FC	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	6.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:04 +10’	1.25	5.00	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 5–1–0 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	0-1 HT 0-1	Metropolitanos FC
05/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	0-1 HT 0-1	Metropolitanos FC
26/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Metropolitanos FC	4-2 HT 2-0	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
16/01/25 America Friendlies	Metropolitanos FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
21/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	2-2 HT 1-1	Metropolitanos FC
23/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Metropolitanos FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metropolitanos FC	11	9	1	1	24	9	28
2	Deportivo Tachira	11	7	2	2	24	14	23
3	Academia Puerto Cabello	11	5	4	2	15	9	19
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12	8	18
5	Portuguesa	11	4	5	2	14	12	17
6	Deportivo La Guaira	11	5	1	5	21	16	16
7	Estudiantes Merida	11	4	4	3	12	12	16
8	UCV	11	4	3	4	12	11	15
9	Monagas	11	4	2	5	12	13	14
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9	14	11
11	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	11	3	2	6	17	23	11
12	Trujillanos	11	3	2	6	12	18	11
13	Zamora	11	2	2	7	10	21	8
14	Academia Anzoategui FC	11	1	2	8	6	20	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Metropolitanos FC	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Academia Anzoategui FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
Monagas	1-0 W	1-1 D
Trujillanos	4-1 W	4-2 W
Portuguesa	2-2 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Tachira	3-1 W	1-3 L
Carabobo	0-1 L	4-3 W
UCV	2-1 W	1-4 L
Deportivo La Guaira	2-1 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metropolitanos FC

WWLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-1	4	8	W
17/09	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
12/09	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/09	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
04/09	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
31/08	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
23/08	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	3-1	1	4	W
17/08	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/08	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
06/08	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-1	4	4	W

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

LWLLLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
17/09	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	3-1	4-2	2	5	W
13/09	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	8	D
06/09	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
03/09	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	2-1	4-3	4	8	W
01/09	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-4	4	10	L
22/08	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-4	0	12	L
16/08	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
10/08	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-0	7	9	W
06/08	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metropolitanos FC win (72%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 72%, draw 18%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 10%.

How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Metropolitanos FC 2.44 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.85), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.