Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 18/10, 21:30
Prediction: Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
Team pages: Academia Puerto Cabello · Monagas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Academia Puerto Cabello1.51
Monagas0.8
1X2
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw
Monagas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Puerto Cabello
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Monagas
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Puerto Cabello
2–3–1
Monagas
(6 last)
- Monagas1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello0-0Monagas
- Academia Puerto Cabello3-2Monagas
- Monagas1-2Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello2-3Monagas
- Monagas1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Puerto Cabello 1557 · Monagas 1526
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Monagas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Academia Puerto Cabello: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Monagas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.2 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 6.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Puerto Cabello 2–3–1 Monagas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 04/03/26 Copa Sudamericana | Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Monagas |
| 05/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Monagas |
| 21/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 07/08/25 Venezuela Cup | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Monagas |
| 03/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 17 |
| 7 | Monagas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | UCV | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Caracas | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 12 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 11 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
| 14 | Zamora | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Puerto Cabello | Monagas |
|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Portuguesa | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Carabobo | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zamora | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Puerto Cabello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Monagas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 03/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Puerto Cabello win (54%). Probabilities: Academia Puerto Cabello 54%, draw 27%, Monagas 19%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello 1.51 · Monagas 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.