Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Zamora vs Academia Anzoategui FC

Team pages: Zamora · Academia Anzoategui FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Zamora1.32

Academia Anzoategui FC1.34

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Zamora Draw Academia Anzoategui FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDLLLL

Academia Anzoategui FC 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Zamora 1–1–1 Academia Anzoategui FC (3 last)

Academia Anzoategui FC1-1Zamora
Zamora2-1Academia Anzoategui FC
Academia Anzoategui FC2-0Zamora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora 1453 · Academia Anzoategui FC 1418

	Zamora	Draw	Academia Anzoategui FC
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	34%	30%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora	Academia Anzoategui FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	0.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +8’	2.10	3.10	3.20
08:13 +6’	2.60▲	3.00▼	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora 1–1–1 Academia Anzoategui FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Zamora
27/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Zamora	2-1 HT 0-0	Academia Anzoategui FC
20/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Zamora

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metropolitanos FC	12	10	1	1	28	9	31
2	Deportivo Tachira	12	8	2	2	28	15	26
3	Academia Puerto Cabello	12	6	4	2	16	9	22
4	Carabobo	12	6	3	3	13	8	21
5	Portuguesa	12	4	6	2	14	12	18
6	Deportivo La Guaira	12	5	2	5	21	16	17
7	Monagas	12	5	2	5	14	14	17
8	Estudiantes Merida	12	4	4	4	13	14	16
9	UCV	12	4	3	5	13	15	15
10	Caracas	12	3	5	4	13	15	14
11	Trujillanos	12	3	2	7	12	19	11
12	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	12	3	2	7	17	27	11
13	Zamora	12	2	2	8	11	25	8
14	Academia Anzoategui FC	12	1	2	9	6	21	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora	Academia Anzoategui FC
Caracas	1-4 L	1-1 D
Metropolitanos FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Monagas	0-1 L	1-3 L
Trujillanos	1-2 L	0-0 D
Portuguesa	1-1 D	3-4 L
Carabobo	0-0 D	0-1 L
UCV	2-0 W	0-1 L
Deportivo La Guaira	1-6 L	0-2 L
Academia Puerto Cabello	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	0 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Zamora (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora

LLWDLDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	1-4	1-4	10	3	L
20/09	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	1-3	6	8	L
17/09	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/09	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
06/09	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
02/09	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	2-5	3	4	L
31/08	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
22/08	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/08	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-4	1-6	–	–	L
09/08	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	3	L

Academia Anzoategui FC

LLDLLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
20/09	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
16/09	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
12/09	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
07/09	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
03/09	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	0	6	L
01/09	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
21/08	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
15/08	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-2	3-4	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora vs Academia Anzoategui FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Anzoategui FC win (36%). Probabilities: Zamora 35%, draw 29%, Academia Anzoategui FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora vs Academia Anzoategui FC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Zamora 1.32 · Academia Anzoategui FC 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora vs Academia Anzoategui FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.