Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 18/10, 21:30
Prediction: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas
Team pages: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano · Caracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.92
Caracas1.87
1X2
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Draw
Caracas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Caracas
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
2–1–3
Caracas
(6 last)
- Caracas2-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Caracas2-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1-1Caracas
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-3Caracas
- Caracas0-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Caracas1-2Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1487 · Caracas 1523
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 24% | 59% |
| Market | 18% | 23% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Caracas: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.2 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 2–1–3 Caracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 06/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 26/01/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Caracas |
| 16/11/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Caracas |
| 26/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 21/07/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 17 |
| 7 | Monagas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | UCV | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Caracas | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 12 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 11 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
| 14 | Zamora | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Caracas |
|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Monagas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Trujillanos | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Portuguesa | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Carabobo | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| UCV | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Caracas (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 12 | L |
| 16/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
Caracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
4-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caracas win (59%). Probabilities: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 17%, draw 24%, Caracas 59%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.92 · Caracas 1.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.