Football · Canada Premier League · 25/10, 21:00

Prediction: Pacific FC (CA) vs Forge FC

Team pages: Pacific FC (CA) · Forge FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Pacific FC (CA)0.81

Forge FC2.16

1X2

13% 19% 68%

Pacific FC (CA) Draw Forge FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pacific FC (CA) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWLLLL

Forge FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDDWWW

Head-to-head

Pacific FC (CA) 0–6 Forge FC (6 last)

Forge FC3-0Pacific FC (CA)
Forge FC2-0Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)0-1Forge FC
Forge FC4-0Pacific FC (CA)
Forge FC2-0Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)0-1Forge FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pacific FC (CA) 1439 · Forge FC 1572

	Pacific FC (CA)	Draw	Forge FC
Our model	12%	21%	67%
Market	13%	18%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forge FC (rating 1439 vs 1572).
H2H favours Forge FC: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pacific FC (CA)	Forge FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	4.2 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

17.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.06 ★
2	1.25 → 1.33▲	Pinn 1.34

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +4’	8.00	5.00	1.25
12:25 +4’	6.50▼	4.75▼	1.33▲
15:38 +1’	7.00▲	5.00▲	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +6’	6.53	4.88	1.32
09:22 +59’	6.85▲	5.06▲	1.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 0–0–6 Forge FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/26 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Pacific FC (CA)
23/08/26 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Pacific FC (CA)
27/04/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-1 HT 0-0	Forge FC
27/09/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	4-0 HT 2-0	Pacific FC (CA)
19/07/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Pacific FC (CA)
24/05/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-1 HT 0-0	Forge FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	27	17	6	4	57	23	57
2	Forge FC	27	17	6	4	48	21	57
3	Atletico Ottawa	27	13	4	10	41	43	43
4	Vancouver FC	27	10	7	10	39	36	37
5	Supra du Quebec	27	10	5	12	43	47	35
6	HFX Wanderers	27	7	7	13	41	46	28
7	Inter Toronto	27	6	9	12	40	64	27
8	Pacific FC (CA)	27	2	8	17	32	61	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pacific FC (CA)	Forge FC
Cavalry FC	2-4 L	1-1 D
Atletico Ottawa	0-2 L	2-1 W
Supra du Quebec	0-5 L	0-1 L
Inter Toronto	4-3 W	5-0 W
Vancouver FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
HFX Wanderers	4-3 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Forge FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pacific FC (CA)

WDDLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	2-3	2-4	2	5	L
12/10	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
08/10	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
04/10	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-1	0-5	5	3	L
27/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	4-3	4-3	5	7	W
20/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/09	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
10/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	3-3	3	10	D
05/09	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
31/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	4-3	3	3	W

Forge FC

WLDWDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
12/10	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	3-0	5-0	5	1	W
08/10	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	1-0	3-0	13	3	W
03/10	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-0	3-3	8	2	D
27/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
13/09	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
06/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
29/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
23/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pacific FC (CA) vs Forge FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Forge FC win (68%). Probabilities: Pacific FC (CA) 13%, draw 19%, Forge FC 68%.

How many goals are expected in Pacific FC (CA) vs Forge FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Pacific FC (CA) 0.81 · Forge FC 2.16), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pacific FC (CA) vs Forge FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.