Football · Canada Premier League · 25/10, 21:00

Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC

Team pages: Cavalry FC · Vancouver FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Cavalry FC2.12

Vancouver FC1.12

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Cavalry FC Draw Vancouver FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Cavalry FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWLLDW

Vancouver FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDDDDW

Head-to-head

Cavalry FC 3–2–1 Vancouver FC (6 last)

Cavalry FC1-0Vancouver FC
Vancouver FC1-0Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC0-2Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC2-2Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC5-4Vancouver FC
Vancouver FC0-0Cavalry FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cavalry FC 1545 · Vancouver FC 1479

	Cavalry FC	Draw	Vancouver FC
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	59%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1545 vs 1479).
H2H favours Cavalry FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cavalry FC	Vancouver FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.55▲	Pinn 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.08 ★
2	5.25 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +3’	1.48	4.00	5.25
12:25 +4’	1.55▲	3.90▼	4.75▼
15:38 +1’	1.55	4.00▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +6’	1.56	3.97	4.57
09:22 +59’	1.57▲	4.08▲	4.72▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 3–2–1 Vancouver FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Vancouver FC
25/07/26 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Cavalry FC
18/05/26 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Cavalry FC
18/10/25 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Cavalry FC
18/08/25 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	5-4 HT 3-2	Vancouver FC
14/07/25 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Cavalry FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	27	17	6	4	57	23	57
2	Forge FC	27	17	6	4	48	21	57
3	Atletico Ottawa	27	13	4	10	41	43	43
4	Vancouver FC	27	10	7	10	39	36	37
5	Supra du Quebec	27	10	5	12	43	47	35
6	HFX Wanderers	27	7	7	13	41	46	28
7	Inter Toronto	27	6	9	12	40	64	27
8	Pacific FC (CA)	27	2	8	17	32	61	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cavalry FC	Vancouver FC
Pacific FC (CA)	4-2 W	1-1 D
HFX Wanderers	2-2 D	2-1 W
Inter Toronto	1-3 L	3-3 D
Atletico Ottawa	2-3 L	0-4 L
Supra du Quebec	6-0 W	2-2 D
Forge FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cavalry FC

WWWWDWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	3-2	4-2	4	5	W
12/10	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
03/10	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-2	1-3	6	8	L
01/10	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	2-3	5	6	L
26/09	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-0	6-0	5	6	W
19/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
14/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
07/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	3-1	2	4	W
29/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	2-1	3-1	6	5	W

Vancouver FC

LLLWLDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
10/10	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
27/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
24/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-2	3-3	5	2	D
20/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
07/09	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-2	3-2	1	3	W
29/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
22/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
20/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-1	0-4	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavalry FC win (59%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 59%, draw 23%, Vancouver FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Cavalry FC 2.12 · Vancouver FC 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.