Football · Canada Premier League · 25/10, 21:00

Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Atletico Ottawa

Team pages: Inter Toronto · Atletico Ottawa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Inter Toronto1.65

Atletico Ottawa2.03

1X2

31% 24% 46%

Inter Toronto Draw Atletico Ottawa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Toronto 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLDLWLLL

Atletico Ottawa 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Inter Toronto 1–3–2 Atletico Ottawa (6 last)

Atletico Ottawa2-1Inter Toronto
Atletico Ottawa1-1Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto4-1Atletico Ottawa
Inter Toronto2-2Atletico Ottawa
Atletico Ottawa0-0Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto3-4Atletico Ottawa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Toronto 1464 · Atletico Ottawa 1502

	Inter Toronto	Draw	Atletico Ottawa
Our model	31%	23%	46%
Market	30%	24%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico Ottawa: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Toronto	Atletico Ottawa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.7	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.7	1.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Pinn 4.02 ★
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +2’	3.00	3.70	2.00
15:34 +5’	3.10▲	3.70	2.00
03:29 +3’	3.00▼	3.80▲	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +6’	2.90	3.85	1.97
10:13 +8’	2.94▲	4.02▲	1.99▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 1–3–2 Atletico Ottawa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Canada Premier League	Atletico Ottawa	2-1 HT 0-1	Inter Toronto
18/07/26 Canada Premier League	Atletico Ottawa	1-1 HT 0-0	Inter Toronto
02/05/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	4-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Ottawa
14/09/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	2-2 HT 1-1	Atletico Ottawa
03/08/25 Canada Premier League	Atletico Ottawa	0-0 HT 0-0	Inter Toronto
09/07/25 Canada Championships	Inter Toronto	3-4 HT 2-2	Atletico Ottawa

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	27	17	6	4	57	23	57
2	Forge FC	27	17	6	4	48	21	57
3	Atletico Ottawa	27	13	4	10	41	43	43
4	Vancouver FC	27	10	7	10	39	36	37
5	Supra du Quebec	27	10	5	12	43	47	35
6	HFX Wanderers	27	7	7	13	41	46	28
7	Inter Toronto	27	6	9	12	40	64	27
8	Pacific FC (CA)	27	2	8	17	32	61	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Toronto	Atletico Ottawa
Supra du Quebec	0-3 L	0-2 L
Forge FC	0-5 L	1-2 L
Cavalry FC	3-1 W	3-2 W
Pacific FC (CA)	3-4 L	2-0 W
Vancouver FC	3-3 D	4-0 W
HFX Wanderers	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Ottawa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Toronto

DDWLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
12/10	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
07/10	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
03/10	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	2-0	3-1	0	8	W
27/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	3-4	3-4	6	7	L
24/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	2	D
20/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-3	1-4	9	6	L
13/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
10/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	3-3	8	10	D
06/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D

Atletico Ottawa

WLWDLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/10	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
01/10	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-1	3-2	7	6	W
26/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/09	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
13/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	6	L
05/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
29/08	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	8	W
22/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
20/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	4-0	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Atletico Ottawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Ottawa win (46%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 31%, draw 24%, Atletico Ottawa 46%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Atletico Ottawa?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Inter Toronto 1.65 · Atletico Ottawa 2.03), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Atletico Ottawa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.