Prediction: Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC
Team pages: Supra du Quebec · Cavalry FC
- Cavalry FC6-0Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec1-1Cavalry FC
- Cavalry FC2-1Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec0-1Cavalry FC
| Supra du Quebec | Draw | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1520 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Cavalry FC: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.8 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Supra du Quebec 0–1–3 Cavalry FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Supra du Quebec |
| 09/08/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 29/07/26 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Supra du Quebec |
| 03/05/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 49 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 45 | 43 |
| 4 | Supra du Quebec | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 50 | 38 |
| 5 | Vancouver FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 37 |
| 6 | Inter Toronto | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 65 | 30 |
| 7 | HFX Wanderers | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 50 | 28 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 28 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 62 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers | 4-3 W | 2-2 D |
| Inter Toronto | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Vancouver FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 5-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Atletico Ottawa | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Forge FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Supra du Quebec (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 07/10 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
3-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 01/10 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavalry FC win (53%). Probabilities: Supra du Quebec 23%, draw 24%, Cavalry FC 53%.
How many goals are expected in Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Supra du Quebec 1.2 · Cavalry FC 1.93), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.