Football · Canada Premier League · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC (CA)

Team pages: Cavalry FC · Pacific FC (CA)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Cavalry FC2.81

Pacific FC (CA)0.91

1X2

76% 15% 9%

Cavalry FC Draw Pacific FC (CA)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Cavalry FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDWLL

Pacific FC (CA) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDWLLL

Head-to-head

Cavalry FC 4–1–1 Pacific FC (CA) (6 last)

Pacific FC (CA)0-1Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC3-0Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)1-3Cavalry FC
Pacific FC (CA)1-2Cavalry FC
Pacific FC (CA)3-3Cavalry FC
Pacific FC (CA)1-0Cavalry FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cavalry FC 1576 · Pacific FC (CA) 1432

	Cavalry FC	Draw	Pacific FC (CA)
Our model	76%	15%	9%
Market	76%	15%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1576 vs 1432).
H2H favours Cavalry FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cavalry FC	Pacific FC (CA)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +19’	1.18	6.00	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 4–1–1 Pacific FC (CA)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/09/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-1 HT 0-0	Cavalry FC
24/05/26 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	3-0 HT 0-0	Pacific FC (CA)
10/05/26 Canada Championships	Pacific FC (CA)	1-3 HT 0-1	Cavalry FC
06/04/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-2 HT 0-1	Cavalry FC
06/10/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	3-3 HT 1-1	Cavalry FC
05/08/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-0 HT 0-0	Cavalry FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	25	16	5	4	51	19	53
2	Forge FC	25	15	6	4	41	20	51
3	Atletico Ottawa	26	13	4	9	40	41	43
4	Vancouver FC	26	9	7	10	37	35	34
5	Supra du Quebec	26	9	5	12	40	47	32
6	HFX Wanderers	25	7	6	12	38	42	27
7	Inter Toronto	25	6	9	10	40	56	27
8	Pacific FC (CA)	26	2	8	16	30	57	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cavalry FC	Pacific FC (CA)
Inter Toronto	1-3 L	4-3 W
Atletico Ottawa	2-3 L	0-2 L
Supra du Quebec	6-0 W	0-5 L
Forge FC	1-1 D	0-3 L
HFX Wanderers	3-1 W	4-3 W
Vancouver FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cavalry FC

DWWWWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-2	1-3	6	8	L
01/10	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	2-3	5	6	L
26/09	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-0	6-0	5	6	W
19/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
14/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
07/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	3-1	2	4	W
29/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
15/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
09/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Pacific FC (CA)

LWDDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
08/10	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
04/10	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-1	0-5	5	3	L
27/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	4-3	4-3	5	7	W
20/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/09	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
10/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	3-3	3	10	D
05/09	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
31/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	4-3	3	3	W
23/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavalry FC win (76%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 76%, draw 15%, Pacific FC (CA) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Cavalry FC 2.81 · Pacific FC (CA) 0.91), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.