Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 14/10, 20:45

Prediction: AFC Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk

Team pages: AFC Whyteleafe · Whitehawk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

AFC Whyteleafe2.06

Whitehawk1.41

1X2

51% 23% 25%

AFC Whyteleafe Draw Whitehawk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Whyteleafe 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Whitehawk 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AFC Whyteleafe 0–1 Whitehawk (1 last)

AFC Whyteleafe1-4Whitehawk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Whyteleafe 1438 · Whitehawk 1433

	AFC Whyteleafe	Draw	Whitehawk
Our model	52%	23%	25%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Whyteleafe	Whitehawk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.5 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	0.7 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +9’	1.75	3.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Whyteleafe 0–0–1 Whitehawk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 England FA Trophy	AFC Whyteleafe	1-4	Whitehawk

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	10	8	0	2	28	12	24
2	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
3	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
4	Lewes	11	7	1	3	17	12	22
5	Carshalton Ath	12	7	0	5	18	20	21
6	Ramsgate	11	6	1	4	27	15	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
9	Dulwich	9	5	1	3	18	12	16
10	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
11	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
12	Burgess Hill Town	9	3	5	1	16	11	14
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
15	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
16	Wingate & Finchley	9	3	2	4	14	20	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
18	AFC Whyteleafe	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	10	2	2	6	19	29	8
21	Whitehawk	11	1	2	8	11	26	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Whyteleafe	Whitehawk
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-1 W	2-3 L
Ramsgate	1-5 L	1-4 L
Lewes	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Whitehawk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AFC Whyteleafe

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
30/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
26/09	Whitehawk England FA Trophy	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-5	–	–	L
29/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D

Whitehawk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
03/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
29/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
26/09	AFC Whyteleafe England FA Trophy	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	1-5	1	3	L
22/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Whyteleafe win (51%). Probabilities: AFC Whyteleafe 51%, draw 23%, Whitehawk 25%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?

The model expects 3.46 goals (AFC Whyteleafe 2.06 · Whitehawk 1.41), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.