Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Chatham Town vs Welling

Team pages: Chatham Town · Welling

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Chatham Town1.63

Welling1.29

1X2

45% 26% 30%

Chatham Town Draw Welling

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Chatham Town 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Welling 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chatham Town 3–1–1 Welling (5 last)

Chatham Town3-1Welling
Welling0-1Chatham Town
Welling0-1Chatham Town
Chatham Town0-0Welling
Chatham Town1-6Welling

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chatham Town 1548 · Welling 1547

	Chatham Town	Draw	Welling
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chatham Town: 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chatham Town	Welling
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	75/25/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +17’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chatham Town 3–1–1 Welling

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Chatham Town	3-1	Welling
25/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Welling	0-1 HT 0-0	Chatham Town
14/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Welling	0-1	Chatham Town
24/07/21 Club Friendly List	Chatham Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Welling
03/10/16 Kent Senior Cup	Chatham Town	1-6 HT 1-4	Welling

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
5	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
6	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	21	11	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
9	Chatham Town	11	6	0	5	23	14	18
10	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
11	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
12	Dulwich	12	5	2	5	20	20	17
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	14	4	1	9	18	35	13
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	18	19	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	12	1	1	10	9	32	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chatham Town	Welling
Eastbourne Borough	1-2 L	0-1 L
Dartford	0-1 L	3-0 W
Wingate & Finchley	2-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Welling (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chatham Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	0	W
17/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Berkhamsted England FA Trophy	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
29/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W

Welling

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	4-2	6	6	W
10/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	4-1	10	2	W
31/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
22/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chatham Town vs Welling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chatham Town win (45%). Probabilities: Chatham Town 45%, draw 26%, Welling 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chatham Town vs Welling?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Chatham Town 1.63 · Welling 1.29), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chatham Town vs Welling?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.