Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Maldon Tiptree FC vs Dulwich

Team pages: Maldon Tiptree FC · Dulwich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Maldon Tiptree FC1.43

Dulwich1.86

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Maldon Tiptree FC Draw Dulwich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Maldon Tiptree FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Dulwich 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maldon Tiptree FC 0–1 Dulwich (1 last)

Dulwich6-0Maldon Tiptree FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maldon Tiptree FC 1407 · Dulwich 1490

	Maldon Tiptree FC	Draw	Dulwich
Our model	29%	25%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dulwich (rating 1407 vs 1490).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maldon Tiptree FC	Dulwich
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.6	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +10’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maldon Tiptree FC 0–0–1 Dulwich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dulwich	6-0	Maldon Tiptree FC

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
5	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
6	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	21	11	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
9	Chatham Town	11	6	0	5	23	14	18
10	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
11	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
12	Dulwich	12	5	2	5	20	20	17
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	14	4	1	9	18	35	13
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	18	19	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	12	1	1	10	9	32	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maldon Tiptree FC	Dulwich
Aveley	2-1 W	2-0 W
Burgess Hill Town	1-4 L	0-2 L
Brentwood Town	1-5 L	2-1 W
Carshalton Ath	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dulwich (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maldon Tiptree FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
17/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
10/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	0-3	1-5	4	4	L
26/09	Egham England FA Trophy	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-5	5	2	L
19/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/09	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Dulwich

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
17/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/09	Hastings Utd England FA Trophy	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
22/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maldon Tiptree FC vs Dulwich?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dulwich win (47%). Probabilities: Maldon Tiptree FC 29%, draw 24%, Dulwich 47%.

How many goals are expected in Maldon Tiptree FC vs Dulwich?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Maldon Tiptree FC 1.43 · Dulwich 1.86), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Maldon Tiptree FC vs Dulwich?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.