Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stanway Rovers vs Cheshunt

Team pages: Stanway Rovers · Cheshunt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Stanway Rovers1.06

Cheshunt1.57

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Stanway Rovers Draw Cheshunt

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Stanway Rovers 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

Cheshunt 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLLWDWWD

Head-to-head

Stanway Rovers 0–1–0 Cheshunt (1 last)

Cheshunt0-0Stanway Rovers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stanway Rovers 1388 · Cheshunt 1504

	Stanway Rovers	Draw	Cheshunt
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cheshunt (rating 1388 vs 1504).
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stanway Rovers	Cheshunt
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.7	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 1	0 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 6	4.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.5	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +5’	3.40	3.80	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stanway Rovers 0–1–0 Cheshunt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-0	Stanway Rovers

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	13	8	0	5	19	17	24
5	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	29	17	22
6	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	21	11	22
7	Carshalton Ath	15	7	1	7	23	28	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24	23	20
9	Chatham Town	11	6	0	5	23	14	18
10	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
11	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
12	Dulwich	12	5	2	5	20	20	17
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20	21	14
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	14	4	1	9	18	35	13
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	18	19	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	23	36	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	12	1	1	10	9	32	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stanway Rovers	Cheshunt
AFC Whyteleafe	0-4 L	2-2 D
Aveley	0-2 L	2-1 W
St Albans	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cheshunt (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Stanway Rovers

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	Faversham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	3-2	4	2	W
12/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

Cheshunt

DDDLLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
26/09	Cray Wanderers England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
29/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stanway Rovers vs Cheshunt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cheshunt win (49%). Probabilities: Stanway Rovers 26%, draw 25%, Cheshunt 49%.

How many goals are expected in Stanway Rovers vs Cheshunt?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Stanway Rovers 1.06 · Cheshunt 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stanway Rovers vs Cheshunt?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.