Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Ramsgate vs Stanway Rovers

Team pages: Ramsgate · Stanway Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Ramsgate2.74

Stanway Rovers1.09

1X2

72% 16% 12%

Ramsgate Draw Stanway Rovers

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ramsgate 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLWWL

Stanway Rovers 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Ramsgate 1–0 Stanway Rovers (1 last)

Stanway Rovers1-3Ramsgate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ramsgate 1544 · Stanway Rovers 1375

	Ramsgate	Draw	Stanway Rovers
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	72%	15%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ramsgate (rating 1544 vs 1375).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ramsgate	Stanway Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	0.8 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.3	4.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X6.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25
X	6.25 → 6.00▼	Bet365 6.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +7’	1.22	6.25	7.00
14:12 +9’	1.25▲	6.00▼	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ramsgate 1–0–0 Stanway Rovers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Stanway Rovers	1-3 HT 0-2	Ramsgate

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	12	8	0	4	19	14	24
5	Carshalton Ath	14	7	1	6	21	24	22
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	11	5	2	4	20	16	17
11	Wingate & Finchley	11	5	2	4	20	21	17
12	Chatham Town	10	5	0	5	19	14	15
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	12	4	2	6	19	19	14
17	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	13	3	1	9	16	34	10
19	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
20	Three Bridges	12	2	3	7	23	34	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	11	1	1	9	9	30	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ramsgate	Stanway Rovers
Wingate & Finchley	0-2 L	1-4 L
Carshalton Ath	2-3 L	1-2 L
AFC Whyteleafe	5-1 W	0-4 L
Welling	0-1 L	0-4 L
St Albans	4-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ramsgate (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ramsgate

WLWDWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
10/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
06/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
03/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
22/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W

Stanway Rovers

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	Faversham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	3-2	4	2	W
12/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ramsgate vs Stanway Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ramsgate win (72%). Probabilities: Ramsgate 72%, draw 16%, Stanway Rovers 12%.

How many goals are expected in Ramsgate vs Stanway Rovers?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Ramsgate 2.74 · Stanway Rovers 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ramsgate vs Stanway Rovers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.