Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Three Bridges vs Eastbourne Borough

Team pages: Three Bridges · Eastbourne Borough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Three Bridges1.5

Eastbourne Borough2.06

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Three Bridges Draw Eastbourne Borough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Three Bridges 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Eastbourne Borough 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Three Bridges 0–1 Eastbourne Borough (1 last)

Eastbourne Borough3-2Three Bridges

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Three Bridges 1463 · Eastbourne Borough 1573

	Three Bridges	Draw	Eastbourne Borough
Our model	27%	23%	50%
Market	26%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastbourne Borough (rating 1463 vs 1573).
High corners: 22 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Three Bridges	Eastbourne Borough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.8	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7	9 / 15
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.70

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:30 +9’	3.40	3.70	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Three Bridges 0–0–1 Eastbourne Borough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Eastbourne Borough	3-2	Three Bridges

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	12	8	0	4	19	14	24
5	Carshalton Ath	14	7	1	6	21	24	22
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	11	5	2	4	20	16	17
11	Wingate & Finchley	11	5	2	4	20	21	17
12	Chatham Town	10	5	0	5	19	14	15
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	12	4	2	6	19	19	14
17	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	13	3	1	9	16	34	10
19	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
20	Three Bridges	12	2	3	7	23	34	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	11	1	1	9	9	30	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Three Bridges	Eastbourne Borough
Lewes	1-2 L	0-1 L
Leatherhead	3-3 D	0-1 L
Carshalton Ath	3-2 W	4-0 W
Chatham Town	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eastbourne Borough (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Three Bridges

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
13/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
22/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-5	–	–	L
15/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L

Eastbourne Borough

WWLLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
26/09	Welwyn Garden City England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
11/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Three Bridges vs Eastbourne Borough?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastbourne Borough win (49%). Probabilities: Three Bridges 27%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 49%.

How many goals are expected in Three Bridges vs Eastbourne Borough?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Three Bridges 1.5 · Eastbourne Borough 2.06), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Three Bridges vs Eastbourne Borough?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.