Prediction: Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
Team pages: Cerrito · Tacuarembo
- Tacuarembo0-0Cerrito
- Tacuarembo1-1Cerrito
- Cerrito1-1Tacuarembo
- Tacuarembo2-0Cerrito
- Cerrito3-1Tacuarembo
- Tacuarembo0-2Cerrito
| Cerrito | Draw | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cerrito: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerrito | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.7 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 2–3–1 Tacuarembo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
| 29/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 | Cerrito |
| 24/08/25 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 04/06/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cerrito |
| 16/11/24 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Tacuarembo |
| 28/07/24 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Huracan DPA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerrito | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| CA River Plate | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Atenas | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Paysandu FC | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Huracan DPA | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Club Oriental | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerrito (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerrito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 22/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Tacuarembo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 15 | L |
| 16/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerrito win (49%). Probabilities: Cerrito 49%, draw 29%, Tacuarembo 23%.
How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Cerrito 1.3 · Tacuarembo 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.