Football · Uruguay Segunda · 17/10, 19:00

Prediction: Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Paysandu FC

Team pages: Atletico Fenix Montevideo · Paysandu FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.74
Paysandu FC0.68
1X2
62% 24% 13%
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Draw Paysandu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLWDLWDLWD
Paysandu FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWWLDDLW
Head-to-head
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0–1 Paysandu FC (1 last)
  • Paysandu FC1-0Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1479 · Paysandu FC 1498
Atletico Fenix MontevideoDrawPaysandu FC
Our model62%25%13%
Market63%23%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Fenix MontevideoPaysandu FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.32 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.5 / 0.85.6 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0–0–1 Paysandu FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
Paysandu FC1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Fenix MontevideoPaysandu FC
Huracan DPA 0-0 D 2-3 L
Uruguay Montevideo 2-0 W 0-1 L
CA River Plate 1-0 W 0-0 D
Rentistas 1-2 L 2-1 W
Miramar Misiones 1-1 D 0-1 L
Tacuarembo 2-0 W 2-2 D
Plaza Colonia 1-4 L 1-1 D
La Luz 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Fenix Montevideo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

DLWDLWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 55 D
04/10 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 78 W
27/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-3 313 L
19/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 94 D
13/09 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 59 W
06/09 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-2 98 L
30/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 67 D
23/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 115 W
16/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-3 1-4 37 L
08/08 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 57 D

Paysandu FC

LLDWWLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 512 W
03/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 16 L
29/09 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-2 48 D
19/09 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 64 D
12/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
– 0-1 –– L
05/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-1 06 W
30/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-3 57 L
08/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Paysandu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Fenix Montevideo win (62%). Probabilities: Atletico Fenix Montevideo 62%, draw 24%, Paysandu FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Paysandu FC?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.74 · Paysandu FC 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Paysandu FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.