Football · Uruguay Segunda · 18/10, 19:00

Prediction: Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate

Team pages: Plaza Colonia · CA River Plate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Plaza Colonia1.27
CA River Plate1.09
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Plaza Colonia Draw CA River Plate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Plaza Colonia 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWDLWWDDLD
CA River Plate 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLDWLW
Head-to-head
Plaza Colonia 2–2–2 CA River Plate (6 last)
  • CA River Plate3-2Plaza Colonia
  • Plaza Colonia3-0CA River Plate
  • Plaza Colonia1-1CA River Plate
  • Plaza Colonia0-0CA River Plate
  • CA River Plate1-2Plaza Colonia
  • Plaza Colonia0-1CA River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Colonia 1502 · CA River Plate 1508
Plaza ColoniaDrawCA River Plate
Our model39%30%30%
Market40%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Plaza ColoniaCA River Plate
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.22.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.95.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Colonia 2–2–2 CA River Plate

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
CA River Plate3-2
HT 2-1
Plaza Colonia
28/03/26
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia3-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
28/09/25
Uruguay Clausura
Plaza Colonia1-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
19/06/25
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
Plaza Colonia0-0
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
29/03/25
Uruguay Apertura
CA River Plate1-2
HT 0-0
Plaza Colonia
26/08/23
Uruguay Clausura
Plaza Colonia0-1
HT 0-0
CA River Plate

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPlaza ColoniaCA River Plate
La Luz 1-1 D 2-3 L
Cerrito 1-3 L 1-1 D
CA Atenas 0-0 D 2-3 L
Paysandu FC 1-1 D 0-0 D
Huracan DPA 2-1 W 2-0 W
Club Oriental 0-2 L 3-1 W
Colon FC 1-1 D 3-0 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 4-1 W 0-1 L
Rentistas 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 5 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Colonia

DWDLWWDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 28 D
04/10 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-3 79 L
27/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 310 D
19/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 54 D
12/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 610 W
08/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 88 W
31/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 52 L
22/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 25 D
16/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
3-1 4-1 17 W
10/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 35 D

CA River Plate

WWDDLLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 3-1 55 W
05/10 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-3 67 L
26/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 3-0 38 W
20/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 04 D
13/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 69 L
06/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 66 L
30/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 86 D
22/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 65 D
15/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 14 W
09/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Colonia win (40%). Probabilities: Plaza Colonia 40%, draw 29%, CA River Plate 31%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Plaza Colonia 1.27 · CA River Plate 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.