Prediction: Tacuarembo vs La Luz
Team pages: Tacuarembo · La Luz
- La Luz2-0Tacuarembo
- Tacuarembo1-1La Luz
- Tacuarembo1-1La Luz
- La Luz1-2Tacuarembo
- Tacuarembo1-1La Luz
- La Luz2-0Tacuarembo
| Tacuarembo | Draw | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Luz (rating 1442 vs 1501).
- H2H favours La Luz: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tacuarembo | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.6 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 6.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuarembo 1–3–2 La Luz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/26 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 17/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | La Luz |
| 31/08/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 | La Luz |
| 07/06/25 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 30/03/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | La Luz |
| 29/09/24 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tacuarembo |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Huracan DPA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tacuarembo | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CA Atenas | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Paysandu FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Huracan DPA | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Oriental | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: La Luz (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tacuarembo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 15 | L |
| 16/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 05/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an La Luz win (41%). Probabilities: Tacuarembo 29%, draw 30%, La Luz 41%.
How many goals are expected in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Tacuarembo 0.94 · La Luz 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.