Prediction: Club Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo
Team pages: Club Oriental · Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo1-1Club Oriental
- Uruguay Montevideo0-4Club Oriental
- Club Oriental1-1Uruguay Montevideo
- Club Oriental0-2Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo2-1Club Oriental
- Club Oriental3-2Uruguay Montevideo
| Club Oriental | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Oriental (rating 1508 vs 1415).
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Oriental | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 6.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Oriental 2–2–2 Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Club Oriental |
| 14/09/25 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Club Oriental |
| 22/06/25 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 14/09/24 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 02/06/24 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club Oriental |
| 21/04/24 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Oriental | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Colon FC | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Rentistas | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Tacuarembo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Plaza Colonia | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| La Luz | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Cerrito | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| CA Atenas | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Oriental
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 20/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 12/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Oriental win (57%). Probabilities: Club Oriental 57%, draw 26%, Uruguay Montevideo 17%.
How many goals are expected in Club Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Club Oriental 1.63 · Uruguay Montevideo 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.