Football · Uruguay Segunda · 18/10, 22:00

Prediction: Rentistas vs CA Atenas

Team pages: Rentistas · CA Atenas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Rentistas1.13

CA Atenas1.04

1X2

37% 30% 32%

Rentistas Draw CA Atenas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Rentistas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDWWLWWL

CA Atenas 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDWDWD

Head-to-head

Rentistas 5–1 CA Atenas (6 last)

CA Atenas1-3Rentistas
Rentistas2-0CA Atenas
CA Atenas0-2Rentistas
Rentistas2-0CA Atenas
CA Atenas2-0Rentistas
Rentistas2-0CA Atenas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rentistas 1507 · CA Atenas 1526

	Rentistas	Draw	CA Atenas
Our model	36%	32%	32%
Market	38%	29%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rentistas: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rentistas	CA Atenas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	0.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.6	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 1.1	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 3.18 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:31 +12’	2.35	3.10	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:38 +65’	2.35	2.84	3.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rentistas 5–0–1 CA Atenas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Uruguay Segunda	CA Atenas	1-3 HT 1-2	Rentistas
20/09/25 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	2-0 HT 1-0	CA Atenas
29/06/25 Uruguay Segunda	CA Atenas	0-2 HT 0-0	Rentistas
05/04/25 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	2-0 HT 0-0	CA Atenas
29/09/24 Uruguay Segunda	CA Atenas	2-0 HT 2-0	Rentistas
15/06/24 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	2-0 HT 1-0	CA Atenas

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rentistas	CA Atenas
Paysandu FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
Huracan DPA	2-1 W	0-0 D
Uruguay Montevideo	3-1 W	2-1 W
Club Oriental	0-2 L	1-0 W
CA River Plate	0-0 D	3-2 W
Miramar Misiones	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tacuarembo	0-1 L	1-0 W
Plaza Colonia	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rentistas

DLDDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-2	6	12	L
03/10	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	2-0	2-1	4	7	W
26/09	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	9	9	W
20/09	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
06/09	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
30/08	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
21/08	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
16/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
10/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	5	D

CA Atenas

WWDLWDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
04/10	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
27/09	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
20/09	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
13/09	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
06/09	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	1-1	3-2	5	6	W
30/08	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
23/08	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
09/08	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rentistas vs CA Atenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rentistas win (37%). Probabilities: Rentistas 37%, draw 30%, CA Atenas 32%.

How many goals are expected in Rentistas vs CA Atenas?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Rentistas 1.13 · CA Atenas 1.04), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Rentistas vs CA Atenas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.