Football · Uruguay Segunda · 18/10, 01:00

Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs Cerrito

Team pages: Miramar Misiones · Cerrito

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Miramar Misiones1.09
Cerrito1.16
1X2
33% 30% 37%
Miramar Misiones Draw Cerrito
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Miramar Misiones 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLDDLWWLWD
Cerrito 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLLDDLWW
Head-to-head
Miramar Misiones 1–4–1 Cerrito (6 last)
  • Cerrito1-0Miramar Misiones
  • Cerrito1-6Miramar Misiones
  • Miramar Misiones2-2Cerrito
  • Cerrito2-2Miramar Misiones
  • Cerrito1-1Miramar Misiones
  • Miramar Misiones1-1Cerrito
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1498 · Cerrito 1518
Miramar MisionesDrawCerrito
Our model33%31%36%
Market34%29%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Miramar MisionesCerrito
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%11/33/56%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.71.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.46.1 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 1–4–1 Cerrito

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-0
HT 1-0
Miramar Misiones
05/11/23
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-6
HT 0-1
Miramar Misiones
19/06/23
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones2-2
HT 1-2
Cerrito
02/04/23
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito2-2
HT 1-0
Miramar Misiones
18/08/18
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-1
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones
24/03/18
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1
HT 0-0
Cerrito

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiramar MisionesCerrito
CA Atenas 1-1 D 0-0 D
Paysandu FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Huracan DPA 1-2 L 1-2 L
Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 W 3-0 W
Club Oriental 3-1 W 1-1 D
Colon FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
CA River Plate 0-3 L 1-1 D
Tacuarembo 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cerrito (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miramar Misiones

DLDDLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 34 D
03/10 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 56 W
28/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 64 L
19/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 710 W
12/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-1 18 W
06/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 26 L
30/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 34 D
15/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 34 L
09/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 47 D

Cerrito

LDWLLDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 46 W
04/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 19 W
27/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 39 L
20/09 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 64 D
13/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 17 D
05/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-2 46 L
29/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 312 L
22/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
– 3-0 –– W
14/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 81 D
08/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs Cerrito?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cerrito win (37%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 33%, draw 30%, Cerrito 37%.

How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs Cerrito?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Miramar Misiones 1.09 · Cerrito 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs Cerrito?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.