Prediction: CA River Plate vs Club Oriental
Team pages: CA River Plate · Club Oriental
- Club Oriental1-2CA River Plate
- CA River Plate1-3Club Oriental
| CA River Plate | Draw | Club Oriental | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA River Plate | Club Oriental | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA River Plate 1–0–1 Club Oriental
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CA River Plate |
| 14/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | CA River Plate | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Club Oriental |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA River Plate | Club Oriental |
|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Colon FC | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Cerrito | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| CA Atenas | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Rentistas | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Paysandu FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Tacuarembo | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Club Oriental
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 20/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 04/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA River Plate vs Club Oriental?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA River Plate win (46%). Probabilities: CA River Plate 46%, draw 28%, Club Oriental 26%.
How many goals are expected in CA River Plate vs Club Oriental?
The model expects 2.37 goals (CA River Plate 1.4 · Club Oriental 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA River Plate vs Club Oriental?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.