Football · Uruguay Segunda · 11/10, 00:00

Prediction: Paysandu FC vs Rentistas

Team pages: Paysandu FC · Rentistas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Paysandu FC0.93
Rentistas1.28
1X2
27% 29% 44%
Paysandu FC Draw Rentistas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Paysandu FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDWWLDDL
Rentistas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLDDWWLWW
Head-to-head
Paysandu FC 1–1 Rentistas (2 last)
  • Rentistas1-2Paysandu FC
  • Paysandu FC0-1Rentistas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu FC 1488 · Rentistas 1533
Paysandu FCDrawRentistas
Our model26%31%43%
Market27%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rentistas (rating 1488 vs 1533).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paysandu FCRentistas
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/11/56%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.22.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.45.9 / 0.9

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 1–0–1 Rentistas

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas1-2
HT 1-1
Paysandu FC
10/04/26
Uruguay Segunda
Paysandu FC0-1
HT 0-1
Rentistas

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaysandu FCRentistas
Miramar Misiones 0-1 L 1-1 D
Tacuarembo 2-2 D 0-1 L
Plaza Colonia 1-1 D 1-1 D
La Luz 0-1 L 5-2 W
CA River Plate 0-0 D 0-0 D
Huracan DPA 2-3 L 2-1 W
Uruguay Montevideo 0-1 L 3-1 W
Club Oriental 2-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 4 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rentistas (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu FC

WLLDWWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 16 L
29/09 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-2 48 D
19/09 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 64 D
12/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
– 0-1 –– L
05/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-1 06 W
30/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-3 57 L
08/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 43 L
04/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 39 W

Rentistas

WDLDDWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 47 W
26/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 99 W
20/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-2 55 L
13/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
06/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-1 38 W
30/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 56 D
21/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 104 D
16/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 125 L
10/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 65 D
01/08 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 5-2 112 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs Rentistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rentistas win (44%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 27%, draw 29%, Rentistas 44%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs Rentistas?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Paysandu FC 0.93 · Rentistas 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs Rentistas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.