Football · Uruguay Segunda · 11/10, 18:00

Prediction: CA Atenas vs Miramar Misiones

Team pages: CA Atenas · Miramar Misiones

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
CA Atenas1.44
Miramar Misiones1
1X2
47% 28% 26%
CA Atenas Draw Miramar Misiones
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atenas 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDLWDWDW
Miramar Misiones 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLWWLW
Head-to-head
CA Atenas 2–3–1 Miramar Misiones (6 last)
  • Miramar Misiones1-1CA Atenas
  • Miramar Misiones0-1CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas0-0Miramar Misiones
  • CA Atenas0-1Miramar Misiones
  • Miramar Misiones1-2CA Atenas
  • Miramar Misiones1-1CA Atenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atenas 1549 · Miramar Misiones 1478
CA AtenasDrawMiramar Misiones
Our model46%29%25%
Market47%26%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atenas (rating 1549 vs 1478).
  • H2H favours CA Atenas: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA AtenasMiramar Misiones
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.60.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.91.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.45.9 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atenas 2–3–1 Miramar Misiones

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
06/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1
HT 1-0
CA Atenas
21/11/23
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones0-1
HT 0-0
CA Atenas
08/07/23
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas0-0Miramar Misiones
05/08/22
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas0-1
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones
15/05/22
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-2
HT 0-1
CA Atenas
11/11/17
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1CA Atenas

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA AtenasMiramar Misiones
Tacuarembo 1-0 W 1-1 D
Plaza Colonia 0-0 D 0-3 L
CA River Plate 3-2 W 0-3 L
Paysandu FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
Huracan DPA 0-0 D 1-2 L
Uruguay Montevideo 2-1 W 1-0 W
Club Oriental 1-0 W 3-1 W
Colon FC 4-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CA Atenas (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atenas

WWWDLWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 76 W
27/09 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 410 D
20/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 14 W
13/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 27 D
06/09 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 56 W
30/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 56 L
23/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 56 W
09/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 55 W
03/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 4-1 15 W

Miramar Misiones

LDLDDLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 56 W
28/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 64 L
19/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 710 W
12/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-1 18 W
06/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 26 L
30/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 34 D
15/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 34 L
09/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 47 D
02/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 49 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atenas vs Miramar Misiones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atenas win (47%). Probabilities: CA Atenas 47%, draw 28%, Miramar Misiones 26%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atenas vs Miramar Misiones?

The model expects 2.44 goals (CA Atenas 1.44 · Miramar Misiones 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atenas vs Miramar Misiones?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.