Prediction: La Luz vs Plaza Colonia
Team pages: La Luz · Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia1-0La Luz
- Plaza Colonia2-0La Luz
- La Luz2-1Plaza Colonia
- La Luz1-1Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia1-1La Luz
| La Luz | Draw | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Colonia (rating 1470 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Luz | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.5 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.1 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 1.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 1–2–2 Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 25/09/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 2-0 HT 2-0 | La Luz |
| 10/06/24 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 23/10/23 Uruguay Clausura | La Luz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| 17/03/23 Uruguay Apertura | Plaza Colonia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | La Luz |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Luz | Plaza Colonia |
|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| CA Atenas | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Paysandu FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Huracan DPA | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Oriental | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Colon FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Rentistas | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Plaza Colonia (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 12 | L |
Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 08/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 10/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Colonia win (36%). Probabilities: La Luz 34%, draw 30%, Plaza Colonia 36%.
How many goals are expected in La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
The model expects 2.26 goals (La Luz 1.11 · Plaza Colonia 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.