Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 07/10, 22:00
Prediction: 22 de Julio vs El Nacional
Team pages: 22 de Julio · El Nacional
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
22 de Julio1.42
El Nacional1.5
1X2
22 de Julio
Draw
El Nacional
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
22 de Julio
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
El Nacional
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
22 de Julio
0–1–3
El Nacional
(4 last)
- El Nacional3-022 de Julio
- 22 de Julio1-3El Nacional
- El Nacional1-122 de Julio
- 22 de Julio0-3El Nacional
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Nacional (rating 1387 vs 1454).
- H2H favours El Nacional: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 22 de Julio | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.8 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 22/22/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 22 de Julio 0–1–3 El Nacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 3-0 HT 1-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 31/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 1-3 HT 0-1 | El Nacional |
| 09/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 1-1 HT 1-1 | 22 de Julio |
| 11/07/25 Ecuador Cup | 22 de Julio | 0-3 HT 0-1 | El Nacional |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gualaceo SC | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | LDU Portoviejo | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 39 |
| 3 | CD Vargas Torres | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 37 |
| 4 | Cumbaya | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 46 | 15 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 58 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 22 de Julio | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Gualaceo SC | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| LDU Portoviejo | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Cumbaya | 1-7 L | 0-3 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: El Nacional (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
22 de Julio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/09 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/09 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
El Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is an El Nacional win (38%). Probabilities: 22 de Julio 35%, draw 27%, El Nacional 38%.
How many goals are expected in 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
The model expects 2.93 goals (22 de Julio 1.42 · El Nacional 1.5), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.